Huachipato vs Deportes La Serena
Match details. Primera Division. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 16:00 Lagos time.
Form. Huachipato have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W D W. Deportes La Serena have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L W W.
The numbers. Huachipato score 1.4 and concede two a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Huachipato average 3.6 corners and 2.2 cards a game. Deportes La Serena score 1.8 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. Deportes La Serena average 4.2 corners and 2.8 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 44% against the records' 23%.
The read. No firm call: Huachipato are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Huachipato the likelier winners; Huachipato are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 52%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.19, 76% on the records (Huachipato: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home; Deportes La Serena: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Backup: Huachipato Over 0.5 Goals at 1.17. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Huachipato or Draw (1UP) (the signs point different ways); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Huachipato 2-1 Deportes La Serena (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).