Match details. Primera Division, Regular Season - 26. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 22:00 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio El Teniente, Rancagua. The referee is Mathias Riquelme.
What's at stake. CD O'Higgins are 13th on 28 points after 25 games, 2 points behind A. Italiano, 2 points clear of Cobresal. A win would take them above A. Italiano. Nublense are 8th on 35 points after 25 games, level on points with Coquimbo Unido, 2 points clear of D. La Serena. A win would take them above Coquimbo Unido. CD O'Higgins have nothing left to play for. Nublense have nothing left to play for.
Form. CD O'Higgins have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L W L. In this competition CD O'Higgins have gone D L L W L L. Nublense have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L L L. In this competition Nublense have gone W L L L L L.
The numbers. CD O'Higgins score one and concede 1.7 a game over their last ten, with no clean sheets and four games without a goal. CD O'Higgins average 16.2 shots (5.5 on target), 5.9 corners and 2.8 cards a game, with 57% of the ball. Nublense score one and concede 2.6 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Nublense average 12.6 shots (4.1 on target), 4.8 corners and 3.1 cards a game, with 49% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings CD O'Higgins have won three, drawn two and lost four. Seven of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in seven. In the last four, CD O'Higgins won three and Nublense won one. The last time they met, on 9 Jul 2026, it finished CD O'Higgins 1-2 Nublense.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make CD O'Higgins the likelier winners, but Nublense are the stronger side on form and the table.
The case against. Nublense's record still gives them 41% to win.
The read. CD O'Higgins or the draw. An open game. Their goals for and against make CD O'Higgins the likelier winners; Nublense are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 64%. Seven of the last nine meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: CD O'Higgins or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: CD O'Higgins 2-1 Nublense (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).