Swansea City vs Blackburn Rovers
Match details. Championship, Regular Season - 13. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 16:00 Lagos time. It is played at Swansea.com Stadium.
What's at stake. Swansea City are 2nd on 23 points after 12 games, 2 points behind Middlesbrough, 1 point clear of West Ham. A win would take them above Middlesbrough. Blackburn Rovers are 10th on 18 points after 12 games, 2 points behind Stoke City, level on points with Portsmouth. A win would take them above Stoke City.
Form. Swansea City have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W W W. Blackburn Rovers have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W W D.
The numbers. Swansea City score 1.4 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Swansea City average 10.5 shots (3.5 on target), 4.3 corners and 1.6 cards a game, with 59% of the ball. Blackburn Rovers score 1.2 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. Blackburn Rovers average 12.9 shots (4.4 on target), 6.2 corners and 2.0 cards a game, with 49% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Swansea City have won six, drawn none and lost four. Six of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, Swansea City won three and Blackburn Rovers won one. The last time they met, on 20 Jan 2026, it finished Swansea City 3-1 Blackburn Rovers: Swansea City had 14 shots to 5, 52% of the ball, five yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 58%; six of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The case against. Blackburn Rovers's record still gives them 23% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 58%. Not everything agrees on goals: six of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The read. Swansea City to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Swansea City the likelier winners; Swansea City are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Swansea City; the meetings favour Swansea City. Their goals for and against point to a tight game.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.34, 73% on the records (Swansea City: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home; Blackburn Rovers: under 3.5 goals in 3 of 5 away). Backup: Swansea City or Under 2.5 Goals at 1.12. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Swansea City 1-0 Blackburn Rovers (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).