Match details. Championship, Regular Season - 13. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 16:00 Lagos time. It is played at Riverside Stadium, Middlesbrough.
What's at stake. Middlesbrough FC are 1st on 25 points after 12 games, 2 points clear of Swansea. Charlton Athletic are 19th on 14 points after 12 games, level on points with Bolton, 2 points clear of Norwich. A win would take them above Bolton.
Form. Middlesbrough FC have won five, drawn four and lost one of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W W D. Charlton Athletic have won one, drawn five and lost four of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D D L.
The numbers. Middlesbrough FC score 2.1 and concede 1.6 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets. Middlesbrough FC average 6.3 corners and 1.0 cards a game. Charlton Athletic score 0.8 and concede 2.4 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Charlton Athletic average 4.4 corners and 2.0 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 79% against the records' 54%.
The read. No firm call: Middlesbrough FC are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Middlesbrough FC the likelier winners; Middlesbrough FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Middlesbrough FC. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 60%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.13, 80% on the records (Middlesbrough FC: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 9; Charlton Athletic: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 away). Backup: Middlesbrough FC or Over 2.5 Goals at 1.12. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Charlton Athletic Under 1.5 goals (Middlesbrough FC's own games don't back it (4 of 9)); Under 4.5 Goals (Middlesbrough FC are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (Middlesbrough FC are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Middlesbrough FC 2-1 Charlton Athletic (10% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Middlesbrough FC or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
MID 9 of 9 (100%) · CHA 5 of 5 (100%)96.9%
Middlesbrough FC: the bet landed in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Charlton Athletic: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 85% · Middlesbrough FC: only games against sides at Charlton Athletic's level · Charlton Athletic: only games against sides at Middlesbrough FC's level
Middlesbrough FC or Over 2.5 GoalsBACKUPIN CODES
1.09
MID 8 of 9 (89%) · CHA 4 of 5 (80%)87.1%
Middlesbrough FC: the bet landed in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Charlton Athletic: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 69% · Middlesbrough FC: only games against sides at Charlton Athletic's level · Charlton Athletic: only games against sides at Middlesbrough FC's level
GOALS
Over 1.5 GoalsMAININ CODES
1.13
MID 7 of 9 (78%) · CHA 5 of 5 (100%)80.9%
Middlesbrough FC: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Charlton Athletic: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 74% · Middlesbrough FC: only games against sides at Charlton Athletic's level · Charlton Athletic: only games against sides at Middlesbrough FC's level
Over 2.5 GoalsLEANHELD · the odds board 70%
1.43
MID 6 of 9 (67%) · CHA 3 of 5 (60%)47.5%
Middlesbrough FC: over 2.5 goals in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Charlton Athletic: over 2.5 goals in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 53% · Middlesbrough FC: only games against sides at Charlton Athletic's level · Charlton Athletic: only games against sides at Middlesbrough FC's level
MIDDLESBROUGH FC GOALS
Middlesbrough FC Over 1.5 goalsPAGE ONLY
1.31
MID 6 of 9 (67%) · CHA 4 of 5 (80%)69.4%
Middlesbrough FC scored over 1.5 in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Charlton Athletic conceded over 1.5 in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 58% · Middlesbrough FC: only games against sides at Charlton Athletic's level · Charlton Athletic: only games against sides at Middlesbrough FC's level
Left off the list: Charlton Athletic Under 1.5 goals (Middlesbrough FC's own games don't back it (4 of 9)); Under 4.5 Goals (Middlesbrough FC are a clear winner - no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (Middlesbrough FC are a clear winner - no Unders)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 2–19.9%
Middlesbrough FC goals →
Charlton Athletic goals ↓
0-06%
1-010%
2-011%
3-08%
4-04%
5-02%
0-14%
1-110%
2-110%
3-17%
4-13%
5-11%
0-22%
1-24%
2-24%
3-23%
4-22%
5-20.6%
0-30.6%
1-31%
2-31%
3-30.9%
4-30.4%
5-30.2%
0-40.1%
1-40.3%
2-40.3%
3-40.2%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.0%
1-50.0%
2-50.0%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).
FORM · LAST 10
MIDDLESBROUGH FCWDWWDDWLWD1.90 PPG
CHARLTON ATHLETICLLDDLDDLDW0.80 PPG
THE NUMBERS
MIDDLESBROUGH FC HOMExCHARLTON ATHLETIC AWAY
2.25SCORED A GAME0.921.42CONCEDED A GAME1.5020%CLEAN SHEETS30%6.33CORNERS A GAME4.421.00CARDS A GAME2.00
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
MIDDLESBROUGH FC OR DRAW (1UP)
–
137 OF 146
NO PRICE YET
The tips call a clear winner and every tip has the favourite winning by 2+.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
2.08POINTS A GAME1.17+0.83GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.58+5.4SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-5.02.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.412LEAGUE GAMES12
Middlesbrough FC: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, more shots than it allows, better form (last 5).
MIDDLESBROUGH FC TO SCORE
–
61 OF 64
NO PRICE YET
MIDDLESBROUGH FC 2:0 HANDICAP
–
61 OF 64
NO PRICE YET
DOUBLE CHANCE: MIDDLESBROUGH FC OR DRAW
–
58 OF 64
NO PRICE YET
MIDDLESBROUGH FC 1UP
–
49 OF 55
NO PRICE YET
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
81%
OKAY · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
65%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
94%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
MIDDLESBROUGH FC OR DRAW
92%
VERY GOOD · 80/85
CHARLTON ATHLETIC OR DRAW
38%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (12 and 12 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
MIDDLESBROUGH FCxCHARLTON ATHLETIC
6GAMES62.33SCORED A GAME1.001.50CONCEDED A GAME2.173.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.283%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%83%OVER 2.5 GOALS67%83%BOTH SCORE67%3.0CARDS IN THEIR GAMES5.012.0CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES9.4
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Middlesbrough FC have scored in 90% of their games.
Charlton Athletic have scored in 60% of their games.
Middlesbrough FC kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
Charlton Athletic kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tableteam newscornerscards