Norwich vs Watford
Match details. Championship, Regular Season - 13. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 13:30 Lagos time. It is played at Carrow Road, Norwich.
What's at stake. Norwich are 20th on 12 points after 12 games, 2 points behind Charlton, 1 point clear of Watford. A win would take them above Charlton. Watford are 21st on 11 points after 12 games, 1 point behind Norwich, 3 points clear of Burnley. A win would take them above Norwich.
Form. Norwich have won three, drawn none and lost seven of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L L L. Watford have won two, drawn one and lost seven of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L L L.
The numbers. Norwich score 1.5 and concede 2.1 a game over their last ten, with no clean sheets and four games without a goal. Norwich average 13.2 shots (4.9 on target), 4.4 corners and 2.2 cards a game, with 53% of the ball. Watford score 0.2 and concede two a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and four games without a goal. Watford average 12.0 shots (3.9 on target), 3.5 corners and 2.5 cards a game, with 50% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Norwich have won five, drawn none and lost five. Seven of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, Norwich won two and Watford won two. The last time they met, on 29 Dec 2025, it finished Norwich 0-1 Watford: Norwich had 9 shots to 8, 55% of the ball, one yellow card.
The case against. Watford's record still gives them 36% to win.
The read. Norwich to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Norwich the likelier winners; Norwich are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Norwich. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 52%. Seven of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Norwich 1UP at 1.29, 76% on the records (Norwich scored first 2 of last 5, led in 3; led in 6 of 9). Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (Norwich are a clear winner, no Unders); Norwich Over 1.5 goals (Watford's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Under 5.5 Goals (Norwich are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Norwich 2-1 Watford (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).