Match details. Parva Liga, Regular Season - 14. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 13:00 Lagos time. It is played at Stadion Lokomotiv, Plovdiv. The referee is Todor Kirov.
What's at stake. PFC Lokomotiv Plovdiv are 11th on 9 points after 12 games, 1 point behind Botev Vratsa, level on points with Lokomotiv Sofia. A win would take them above Botev Vratsa. Ludogorets are 4th on 26 points after 11 games, 2 points behind CSKA 1948, 4 points clear of Botev Plovdiv. A win would take them above CSKA 1948.
Form. PFC Lokomotiv Plovdiv have won one, drawn three and lost six of their last ten, 0.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D D L W. In this competition PFC Lokomotiv Plovdiv have gone D D D L W L. Ludogorets have won seven, drawn two and lost one of their last ten, 2.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W W D. In this competition Ludogorets have gone L W W W D D.
The numbers. PFC Lokomotiv Plovdiv score 0.6 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. PFC Lokomotiv Plovdiv average 10.0 shots (3.0 on target), 5.0 corners and 3.0 cards a game, with 44% of the ball. Ludogorets score 1.6 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Ludogorets average 13.4 shots (5.2 on target), 5.8 corners and 2.4 cards a game, with 56% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings PFC Lokomotiv Plovdiv have won one, drawn three and lost five. Three of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, PFC Lokomotiv Plovdiv won one, two were drawn and Ludogorets won one. The last time they met, on 18 Jul 2026, it finished PFC Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0-1 Ludogorets: PFC Lokomotiv Plovdiv had 14 shots to 6, 46% of the ball, three yellow cards.
The read. Ludogorets to win. A tight game. Ludogorets are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Ludogorets; the meetings favour Ludogorets. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 27%. Six of the last nine meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.23, 76% on the records (PFC Lokomotiv Plovdiv: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home; Ludogorets: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Backup: Ludogorets win or both teams score at 1.15. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 3.5 Cards (the signs point different ways); Ludogorets or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: PFC Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0-1 Ludogorets (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).