EDGE PICKNewport County Over 0.5 goals · 53.2% · @1.40
Book 71% · Us 53%-18price too short
Backed by
Newport County scored in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Chesterfield FC conceded in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · H2H 4 of 6 · Newport County: only games against sides at Chesterfield FC's level · Chesterfield FC: only games against sides at Newport County's level
· main loses on: 1-0, 2-0, 2-1, 3-0, 3-1, 4-0, 3-2, 4-1, 5-0, 4-2, 5-1, 6-0 and 43 more up to 10-10 | hedge wins on all of them
THE READ
Match details. League Two, Regular Season - 14. Kick-off is Fri 30 Oct, 20:45 Lagos time. It is played at Rodney Parade, Newport. The referee is Z. Kennard-Kettle.
What's at stake. Newport County are 16th on 15 points after 13 games, 1 point behind Bristol Rovers, level on points with Rochdale. A win would take them above Bristol Rovers. Chesterfield FC are 7th on 19 points after 13 games, level on points with Walsall, level on points with Exeter City. A win would take them above Walsall.
Form. Newport County have won three, drawn six and lost one of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D W D. Chesterfield FC have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L D W.
The numbers. Newport County score 1.4 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Newport County average 13.8 shots (3.6 on target), 4.2 corners and 1.8 cards a game, with 42% of the ball. Chesterfield FC score 2.3 and concede 1.4 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet. Chesterfield FC average 18.9 shots (6.4 on target), 5.7 corners and 2.0 cards a game, with 60% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last eight meetings Newport County have won three, drawn one and lost four. Six of the eight went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, Newport County won one and Chesterfield FC won three. The last time they met, on 24 Jan 2026, it finished Newport County 2-1 Chesterfield FC: Newport County had 8 shots to 6, 36% of the ball, three yellow cards.
The case against. Newport County's record still gives them 27% to win.
The read. Chesterfield FC to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Chesterfield FC the likelier winners; Chesterfield FC are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour Chesterfield FC. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 54%. Six of the last eight meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Draw or Chesterfield FC at 1.29, 72% on the records (Chesterfield FC unbeaten in 6 of 8; Newport County failed to win 6 of 8). The safer one: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.26 (76%). Backup: Chesterfield FC win or both teams score at 1.19. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Chesterfield FC or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Newport County 1-2 Chesterfield FC (9% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Chesterfield FC or Draw (1UP)IN CODES
1.20
NEW 4 of 5 (80%) · CHE 6 of 8 (75%)76.7%
Chesterfield FC scored first 4 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Newport County trailed or failed to win in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Chesterfield FC: only games against sides at Newport County's level · Newport County: only games against sides at Chesterfield FC's level
Chesterfield FC to Win Either Half: YesPAGE ONLY
1.52
NEW 7 of 8 (88%) · CHE 4 of 8 (50%)72.4%
Chesterfield FC: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Newport County: the bet landed in 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 69% · H2H 5 of 6 · on half-time scores · Chesterfield FC: only games against sides at Newport County's level · Newport County: only games against sides at Chesterfield FC's level
Double Chance: Draw or Chesterfield FCMAINLEANPAGE ONLY
1.29
NEW 6 of 8 (75%) · CHE 6 of 8 (75%)67.2%
Chesterfield FC unbeaten in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Newport County failed to win 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · H2H 4 of 6 · Chesterfield FC: only games against sides at Newport County's level · Newport County: only games against sides at Chesterfield FC's level
Chesterfield FC or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
NEW 7 of 8 (88%) · CHE 5 of 8 (62%)65.7%
Chesterfield FC: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Newport County: the bet landed in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · H2H 6 of 6 · Chesterfield FC: only games against sides at Newport County's level · Newport County: only games against sides at Chesterfield FC's level
Chesterfield FC win or both teams scoreBACKUPIN CODES
1.19
NEW 7 of 8 (88%) · CHE 5 of 8 (62%)65.7%
Chesterfield FC: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Newport County: the bet landed in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · H2H 6 of 6 · Chesterfield FC: only games against sides at Newport County's level · Newport County: only games against sides at Chesterfield FC's level
Chesterfield FC 1UPLEANPAGE ONLY
1.49
NEW 4 of 5 (80%) · CHE 6 of 8 (75%)64.2%
Chesterfield FC scored first 4 of last 5, led in 4 · led in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Newport County trailed in 3 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Chesterfield FC: only games against sides at Newport County's level · Newport County: only games against sides at Chesterfield FC's level
Chesterfield FC or Over 2.5 GoalsLEANHELD · the odds board 75%
1.33
NEW 6 of 8 (75%) · CHE 3 of 8 (38%)46.1%
Chesterfield FC: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Newport County: the bet landed in 3 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 56% · H2H 6 of 6 · Chesterfield FC: only games against sides at Newport County's level · Newport County: only games against sides at Chesterfield FC's level
Chesterfield FC or draw and over 1.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.56
NEW 3 of 8 (38%) · CHE 6 of 8 (75%)46.1%
Newport County: the bet landed in 3 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Chesterfield FC: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 56% · H2H 3 of 6 · Newport County: only games against sides at Chesterfield FC's level · Chesterfield FC: only games against sides at Newport County's level
GOALS
Over 1.5 GoalsSAFERHELD · the odds board 79%
1.26
NEW 4 of 8 (50%) · CHE 7 of 8 (88%)56.8%
Newport County: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Chesterfield FC: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 69% · H2H 5 of 6 · Newport County: only games against sides at Chesterfield FC's level · Chesterfield FC: only games against sides at Newport County's level
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY
1.67
NEW 4 of 8 (50%) · CHE 6 of 8 (75%)40%
Newport County: both scored in 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Chesterfield FC: both scored in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 62% · H2H 4 of 6 · Newport County: only games against sides at Chesterfield FC's level · Chesterfield FC: only games against sides at Newport County's level
NEWPORT COUNTY GOALS
Newport County Over 0.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.40
NEW 5 of 8 (62%) · CHE 7 of 8 (88%)53.2%
Newport County scored in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Chesterfield FC conceded in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · H2H 4 of 6 · Newport County: only games against sides at Chesterfield FC's level · Chesterfield FC: only games against sides at Newport County's level
CHESTERFIELD FC GOALS
Chesterfield FC Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.20
NEW 7 of 8 (88%) · CHE 5 of 8 (62%)64.4%
Chesterfield FC scored in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Newport County conceded in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · H2H 6 of 6 · Chesterfield FC: only games against sides at Newport County's level · Newport County: only games against sides at Chesterfield FC's level
HALVES
Under 1.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.48
NEW 7 of 8 (88%) · CHE 6 of 8 (75%)77.6%
Newport County: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Chesterfield FC: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · H2H 4 of 6 · on half-time scores · Newport County: only games against sides at Chesterfield FC's level · Chesterfield FC: only games against sides at Newport County's level
Left off the list: Chesterfield FC or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–29.3%
Newport County goals →
Chesterfield FC goals ↓
0-07%
1-07%
2-05%
3-02%
4-00.5%
5-00.1%
0-110%
1-113%
2-17%
3-13%
4-10.8%
5-10.2%
0-28%
1-29%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.6%
5-20.1%
0-34%
1-35%
2-33%
3-31%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-42%
1-42%
2-41%
3-40.4%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.5%
1-50.6%
2-50.3%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).
FORM · LAST 10
NEWPORT COUNTYLDDWDDWWDD1.50 PPG
CHESTERFIELD FCWDLDWLDWWW1.80 PPG
THE NUMBERS
NEWPORT COUNTY HOMExCHESTERFIELD FC AWAY
1.23SCORED A GAME1.771.23CONCEDED A GAME1.3140%CLEAN SHEETS10%31%FAILED TO SCORE15%4.15CORNERS A GAME5.691.75CARDS A GAME2.001.46xG2.550.99xG AGAINST0.97
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
718 OF 767
NO PRICE YET
The Bank expects 4.5+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.23POINTS A GAME1.46+0.08GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.46-2.0SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+6.61.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.613LEAGUE GAMES13
Chesterfield FC: the quality side - more shots than it allows.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
73%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
54%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
86%
OKAY · 85/90
NEWPORT COUNTY OR DRAW
88%
VERY GOOD · 80/85
CHESTERFIELD FC OR DRAW
49%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (13 and 13 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
NEWPORT COUNTYxCHESTERFIELD FC
6GAMES61.67SCORED A GAME1.170.83CONCEDED A GAME1.332.5GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.583%OVER 1.5 GOALS67%50%OVER 2.5 GOALS67%67%BOTH SCORE67%4.4CARDS IN THEIR GAMES4.89.2CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES7.6
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 8
NEWPORT COUNTY 3 · 38%DRAW 1CHESTERFIELD FC 4 · 50%
6 of 8BOTH TEAMS SCORED
7 of 8OVER 1.5 GOALS
6 of 8OVER 2.5 GOALS
3 of 8OVER 3.5 GOALS
2013-12-01Newport County 3 – 2 Chesterfield FC
2014-04-05Newport County 1 – 1 Chesterfield FC
2017-08-26Newport County 4 – 1 Chesterfield FC
2018-05-01Newport County 0 – 1 Chesterfield FC
2024-10-18Newport County 0 – 3 Chesterfield FC
2025-03-08Newport County 1 – 2 Chesterfield FC
2025-09-27Newport County 1 – 4 Chesterfield FC
2026-01-24Newport County 2 – 1 Chesterfield FC
TRENDS
Newport County have scored in 70% of their games.
Chesterfield FC have scored in 90% of their games.
Newport County kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.
Chesterfield FC kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards