Fortuna D vs SV Meppen 1912
Match details. 3. Liga, Regular Season - 12. Kick-off is Fri 30 Oct, 19:00 Lagos time. It is played at Merkur Spielarena, Dusseldorf.
What's at stake. Fortuna D are 12th on 15 points after 11 games, level on points with Preußen Münster, 1 point clear of SV Meppen. A win would take them above Preußen Münster. SV Meppen 1912 are 13th on 14 points after 11 games, 1 point behind Fortuna Düsseldorf, level on points with Stuttgart II. A win would take them above Fortuna Düsseldorf.
Form. Fortuna D have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W D L. In this competition Fortuna D have gone D L W D L W. SV Meppen 1912 have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W D L. In this competition SV Meppen 1912 have gone W D W D L L.
The numbers. Fortuna D score 1.2 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Fortuna D average 14.0 shots (3.6 on target), 4.5 corners and 2.5 cards a game, with 52% of the ball. SV Meppen 1912 score 1.6 and concede 1.4 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets. SV Meppen 1912 average 16.1 shots (5.4 on target), 5.9 corners and 2.8 cards a game, with 45% of the ball.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 53%.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 53%.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.54, 73% on the records (Fortuna D: under 3.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home; SV Meppen 1912: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 10). Backup: Under 4.5 Goals at 1.21. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Fortuna D or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); SV Meppen 1912 or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Fortuna D 1-1 SV Meppen 1912 (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).