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HB KOEGE W vs FC Barcelona W

CLASS E
THE READ

Match details. UEFA Champions League Women, League Stage - 3. Kick-off is Thu 29 Oct, 21:00 Lagos time. It is played at Capelli Sport Stadion, Koege. The referee is Volha Blotskaya.

What's at stake. HB KOEGE W are 8th on 3 points after 2 games, 1 point behind Inter Milano W, level on points with Juventus W. A win would take them above Inter Milano W. FC Barcelona W are 4th on 6 points after 2 games, 1 point behind Chelsea W, 1 point clear of Bayern Munich W. A win would take them above Chelsea W.

Form. HB KOEGE W have won four, drawn one and lost one of their last six, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D W W. FC Barcelona W have won nine, drawn none and lost one of their last ten, 2.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W W W. In this competition FC Barcelona W have gone W W.

The numbers. HB KOEGE W score 2.2 and concede 0.8 a game over their last six, with one clean sheet. HB KOEGE W average 4.0 corners and 0.7 cards a game, with 47% of the ball. FC Barcelona W score 3.8 and concede 0.4 a game in their last five away, with four clean sheets.

Head to head. FC Barcelona W have won all of the last two meetings. One of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in none. The last time they met, on 15 Dec 2021, it finished HB KOEGE W 0-5 FC Barcelona W.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 98% against the records' 50%.

The read. No firm call: FC Barcelona W are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make FC Barcelona W the likelier winners; FC Barcelona W are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour FC Barcelona W. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 68%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: HB KOEGE W 1-2 FC Barcelona W (10% chance).

PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
FC Barcelona W or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
HBK 5 of 5 (100%) · FCB 5 of 6 (83%)91.9%
FC Barcelona W: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · HB KOEGE W: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 92% · each game weighed by who it was against
GOALS
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
HBK 6 of 6 (100%) · FCB 5 of 5 (100%)100%
HB KOEGE W: over 0.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · FC Barcelona W: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 100% · each game weighed by who it was against
Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
HBK 4 of 6 (67%) · FCB 5 of 5 (100%)83.9%
HB KOEGE W: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · FC Barcelona W: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 84% · each game weighed by who it was against
Over 2.5 GoalsLEANHELD · the odds board 90%
1.11
HBK 3 of 6 (50%) · FCB 4 of 5 (80%)67.5%
HB KOEGE W: over 2.5 goals in 3 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · FC Barcelona W: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 71% · each game weighed by who it was against
FC BARCELONA W GOALS
FC Barcelona W Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
HBK 5 of 5 (100%) · FCB 5 of 6 (83%)91.9%
FC Barcelona W scored in 5 of 5 away · HB KOEGE W conceded in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 92% · each game weighed by who it was against
Left off the list: Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–2 9.6%
HB KOEGE W goals →
FC Barcelona W goals ↓
0-05%
1-05%
2-03%
3-01%
4-00.4%
5-00.1%
0-17%
1-111%
2-16%
3-13%
4-10.9%
5-10.2%
0-28%
1-210%
2-26%
3-23%
4-20.8%
5-20.2%
0-35%
1-36%
2-34%
3-32%
4-30.5%
5-30.1%
0-42%
1-43%
2-42%
3-40.8%
4-40.3%
5-40.1%
0-50.9%
1-51%
2-50.7%
3-50.3%
4-50.1%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).

FORM · LAST 10
HB KOEGE WWWWDLW2.17 PPG
FC BARCELONA WWWWWWWWWLW2.70 PPG
THE NUMBERS
HB KOEGE W HOMExFC BARCELONA W AWAY
2.17SCORED A GAME4.300.83CONCEDED A GAME0.6017%CLEAN SHEETS70%17%FAILED TO SCORE0%
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 2
HB KOEGE W 0 · 0%DRAW 0FC BARCELONA W 2 · 100%
2021-10-14HB KOEGE W 0 – 2 FC Barcelona W
2021-12-15HB KOEGE W 0 – 5 FC Barcelona W
TRENDS
HB KOEGE W failed to score in 17% of their games.
FC Barcelona W failed to score in 0% of their games.
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