Atletico Mineiro MG vs Cruzeiro EC MG

Match details. Brasileiro Serie A, Regular Season - 33. Kick-off is Thu 29 Oct, 23:30 Lagos time. It is played at Arena MRV, Bello Harisanta. The referee is Raphael Claus.

What's at stake. Atletico Mineiro MG are 7th on 50 points after 32 games, 3 points behind Bahia, 3 points clear of Santos. A win would take them level on points with Bahia. Cruzeiro EC MG are 3rd on 54 points after 32 games, 16 points behind Palmeiras, level on points with Atletico Paranaense.

Team news. Atletico Mineiro MG are without T. Borbas (muscle injury), M. Cassierra (muscle injury), Cuello (ribs injury), Fred (muscle injury), Ruan Tressoldi (muscle injury), Vitor Hugo (yellow cards). Everson is their first-choice keeper. Cruzeiro EC MG are without Felipe Morais (muscle injury), Gabriel Pec (broken leg), L. Sinisterra (muscle injury), K. Arroyo (injury), N. Villarreal (inactive), Felipe Morais (muscle injury).

Form. Atletico Mineiro MG have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W D W. In this competition Atletico Mineiro MG have gone L W W D W D. Cruzeiro EC MG have won seven, drawn none and lost three of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L W W. In this competition Cruzeiro EC MG have gone W W L W W L.

The numbers. Atletico Mineiro MG score 1.7 and concede 0.7 a game in their last six at home, with two clean sheets. Atletico Mineiro MG average 14.5 shots (6.1 on target), 5.9 corners and 1.6 cards a game, with 49% of the ball. Cruzeiro EC MG score 2.2 and concede 2.2 a game in their last six away, with no clean sheets. Cruzeiro EC MG average 15.4 shots (6.6 on target), 5.5 corners and 1.9 cards a game, with 56% of the ball.

Head to head. In the last ten meetings Atletico Mineiro MG have won four, drawn three and lost three. Three of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Atletico Mineiro MG won two, one was drawn and Cruzeiro EC MG won one. The last time they met, on 2 Sep 2026, it finished Atletico Mineiro MG 2-1 Cruzeiro EC MG: Atletico Mineiro MG had 28 shots to 12, 62% of the ball, six yellow cards.

Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: Cruzeiro EC MG are the stronger side on form and the table, but both teams' records favour Atletico Mineiro MG. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 66%; seven of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.

The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to a tight game. Not everything agrees on goals: seven of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.

The read. No side to back. A draw is live. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 66%.

The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.24, 74% on the records (Atletico Mineiro MG: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 6 at home; Cruzeiro EC MG: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 6 away). Backup: 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5 at 1.19. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Cruzeiro EC MG or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Cruzeiro EC MG or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call). Predicted score: Atletico Mineiro MG 2-1 Cruzeiro EC MG (8% chance).