Match details. UEFA Champions League Women, League Stage - 3. Kick-off is Wed 28 Oct, 21:00 Lagos time. It is played at Meadow Park, Borehamwood, a neutral ground. The referee is Ivana Projkovska.
What's at stake. Arsenal WFC are 5th on 4 points after 2 games, level on points with Bayern Munich W, level on points with Inter Milano W. A win would take them above Bayern Munich W. SL Benfica Lisbon W are 10th on 3 points after 2 games, level on points with Juventus W, 1 point clear of Manchester City W. A win would take them above Juventus W.
Form. Arsenal WFC have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L D L. In this competition Arsenal WFC have gone D W. SL Benfica Lisbon W have won nine, drawn none and lost one of their last ten, 2.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L W W. In this competition SL Benfica Lisbon W have gone L W.
The numbers. Arsenal WFC score 1.3 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Arsenal WFC average 19.9 shots (5.5 on target), 9.0 corners and 0.8 cards a game, with 62% of the ball. SL Benfica Lisbon W score 2.4 and concede 0.7 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets.
Head to head. The last time they met, on 16 Oct 2025, it finished Arsenal WFC 2-0 SL Benfica Lisbon W: Arsenal WFC had 13 shots to 9, 68% of the ball, four yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 10% against the records' 57%.
The read. No firm call: SL Benfica Lisbon W are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make SL Benfica Lisbon W the likelier winners; SL Benfica Lisbon W are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour SL Benfica Lisbon W. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 56%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.09, 77% on the records (Arsenal WFC: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 10; SL Benfica Lisbon W: over 1.5 goals in 9 of 10). Leave: SL Benfica Lisbon W Over 1.5 Goals (Arsenal WFC's own games don't back it (2 of 10)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Arsenal WFC 1-2 SL Benfica Lisbon W (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).