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Chelsea FC W vs AS Roma W

CLASS E
THE READ

Match details. UEFA Champions League Women, League Stage - 3. Kick-off is Wed 28 Oct, 18:45 Lagos time. It is played at Stamford Bridge, London.

What's at stake. Chelsea FC W are 7th on 4 points after 2 games, level on points with Inter Milano W, 1 point clear of Køge W. A win would take them above Inter Milano W. AS Roma W are 16th on 1 point after 2 games, level on points with OH Leuven W, 1 point clear of Häcken W. A win would take them above OH Leuven W.

Form. Chelsea FC W have won eight, drawn two and lost none of their last ten, 2.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W D W. AS Roma W have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W L W.

The numbers. Chelsea FC W score 2.2 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. Chelsea FC W average 15.4 shots (6.8 on target), 4.8 corners and 1.1 cards a game, with 62% of the ball. AS Roma W score 3.4 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. AS Roma W average 10.0 shots (4.0 on target), 3.0 corners and 1.0 cards a game.

Head to head. The last time they met, on 10 Dec 2025, it finished Chelsea FC W 6-0 AS Roma W: Chelsea FC W had 18 shots to 6, 61% of the ball.

The case against. AS Roma W's record still gives them 30% to win.

The read. Chelsea FC W to win. An open game. Chelsea FC W are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 54%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 5.5 Goals (Chelsea FC W are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 4.5 Goals (Chelsea FC W are a clear winner, no Unders); Chelsea FC W Over 1.5 Goals (Chelsea FC W's own games don't back it (2 of 5)). Predicted score: Chelsea FC W 2-1 AS Roma W (8% chance).

PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Chelsea FC W or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CHE 5 of 5 (100%) · ASR 4 of 5 (80%)90.1%
Chelsea FC W: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · AS Roma W: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · each game weighed by who it was against
GOALS
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CHE 5 of 5 (100%) · ASR 4 of 5 (80%)90.1%
Chelsea FC W: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · AS Roma W: over 0.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · each game weighed by who it was against
CHELSEA FC W GOALS
Chelsea FC W Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CHE 5 of 5 (100%) · ASR 4 of 5 (80%)88.4%
Chelsea FC W scored in 5 of 5 at home · AS Roma W conceded in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 85% · each game weighed by who it was against
HALVES
Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.12
CHE 5 of 5 (100%) · ASR 4 of 5 (80%)86.9%
Chelsea FC W: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · AS Roma W: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 81% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against
2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY
1.09
CHE 3 of 5 (60%) · ASR 4 of 5 (80%)73.6%
Chelsea FC W: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · AS Roma W: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 81% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against
Left off the list: Under 5.5 Goals (Chelsea FC W are a clear winner - no Unders); Under 4.5 Goals (Chelsea FC W are a clear winner - no Unders); Chelsea FC W Over 1.5 Goals (Chelsea FC W's own games don't back it (2 of 5))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 2–1 8.1%
Chelsea FC W goals →
AS Roma W goals ↓
0-04%
1-05%
2-05%
3-03%
4-01%
5-00.3%
0-16%
1-111%
2-18%
3-14%
4-12%
5-10.6%
0-25%
1-28%
2-27%
3-24%
4-21%
5-20.5%
0-33%
1-35%
2-34%
3-32%
4-30.8%
5-30.3%
0-41%
1-42%
2-42%
3-40.9%
4-40.3%
5-40.1%
0-50.4%
1-50.7%
2-50.5%
3-50.3%
4-50.1%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).

FORM · LAST 10
CHELSEA FC WWWWDWWWWDW2.60 PPG
AS ROMA WWWWLWDDWWL2.00 PPG
THE NUMBERS
CHELSEA FC W HOMExAS ROMA W AWAY
2.30SCORED A GAME2.700.40CONCEDED A GAME1.6070%CLEAN SHEETS20%25%FAILED TO SCORE0%4.75CORNERS A GAME3.001.10CARDS A GAME1.00
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 1
CHELSEA FC W 1 · 100%DRAW 0AS ROMA W 0 · 0%
2025-12-10Chelsea FC W 6 – 0 AS Roma W
TRENDS
Chelsea FC W have scored in 90% of their games.
AS Roma W have scored in 70% of their games.
Chelsea FC W kept a clean sheet in 70% of their games.
AS Roma W kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
BUILT FROM
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