Match details. UEFA Champions League Women, League Stage - 3. Kick-off is Wed 28 Oct, 18:45 Lagos time. It is played at Stamford Bridge, London.
What's at stake. Chelsea FC W are 7th on 4 points after 2 games, level on points with Inter Milano W, 1 point clear of Køge W. A win would take them above Inter Milano W. AS Roma W are 16th on 1 point after 2 games, level on points with OH Leuven W, 1 point clear of Häcken W. A win would take them above OH Leuven W.
Form. Chelsea FC W have won eight, drawn two and lost none of their last ten, 2.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W D W. AS Roma W have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W L W.
The numbers. Chelsea FC W score 2.2 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. Chelsea FC W average 15.4 shots (6.8 on target), 4.8 corners and 1.1 cards a game, with 62% of the ball. AS Roma W score 3.4 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. AS Roma W average 10.0 shots (4.0 on target), 3.0 corners and 1.0 cards a game.
Head to head. The last time they met, on 10 Dec 2025, it finished Chelsea FC W 6-0 AS Roma W: Chelsea FC W had 18 shots to 6, 61% of the ball.
The case against. AS Roma W's record still gives them 30% to win.
The read. Chelsea FC W to win. An open game. Chelsea FC W are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 54%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 5.5 Goals (Chelsea FC W are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 4.5 Goals (Chelsea FC W are a clear winner, no Unders); Chelsea FC W Over 1.5 Goals (Chelsea FC W's own games don't back it (2 of 5)). Predicted score: Chelsea FC W 2-1 AS Roma W (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).