CS Sporting Liesti vs ACS FC Bacau
Match details. Romania Cup, Group Stage. Kick-off is Wed 28 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time.
Form. CS Sporting Liesti have won five, drawn none and lost five of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L L W. ACS FC Bacau have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L D W.
The numbers. CS Sporting Liesti score 4.2 and concede 1.8 a game in their last six at home, with two clean sheets. CS Sporting Liesti average 9.5 shots (6.5 on target), 4.8 corners and 2.2 cards a game. ACS FC Bacau score 1.2 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. ACS FC Bacau average 8.2 shots (4.3 on target), 4.1 corners and 2.6 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 16% against the records' 49%.
The read. No firm call: CS Sporting Liesti are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make CS Sporting Liesti the likelier winners; both teams' records favour CS Sporting Liesti. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 64%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: ACS FC Bacau or Over 2.5 Goals (the call backs CS Sporting Liesti); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); ACS FC Bacau or Over 1.5 Goals (the call backs CS Sporting Liesti). Predicted score: CS Sporting Liesti 2-1 ACS FC Bacau (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).