Port Vale vs Manchester City U21
Match details. EFL Trophy, Group North - 4. Kick-off is Tue 27 Oct, 20:00 Lagos time. It is played at Vale Park, Stoke-On-Trent.
Form. Port Vale have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W W W. In this competition Port Vale have gone W. Manchester City U21 have won six, drawn none and lost four of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L L W. In this competition Manchester City U21 have gone L W.
The numbers. Port Vale score one and concede none a game in their last five at home, with five clean sheets. Port Vale average 10.9 shots (3.4 on target), 4.9 corners and 1.9 cards a game, with 46% of the ball. Manchester City U21 score 2.6 and concede 2.8 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Port Vale the likelier winners, but Manchester City U21 are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Port Vale.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 52%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Manchester City U21 or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Manchester City U21 or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Port Vale 2-1 Manchester City U21 (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).