BFBLA

20:00Tue 27 Oct

AST

Blackpool FC vs Aston Villa U21

CLASS E

THE READ

Match details. EFL Trophy, Group North - 2. Kick-off is Tue 27 Oct, 20:00 Lagos time. It is played at Bloomfield Road, Blackpool.

Form. Blackpool FC have won two, drawn one and lost seven of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L L L. In this competition Blackpool FC have gone L. Aston Villa U21 have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D W D. In this competition Aston Villa U21 have gone L L.

The numbers. Blackpool FC score 2.2 and concede two a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Blackpool FC average 11.4 shots (3.6 on target), 5.8 corners and 2.2 cards a game, with 53% of the ball. Aston Villa U21 score 1.8 and concede 2.3 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal.

Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Blackpool FC the likelier winners, but Aston Villa U21 are the stronger side on form and the table.

The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 78%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Aston Villa U21 or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Aston Villa U21 win or both teams score (no result call); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Blackpool FC 2-1 Aston Villa U21 (8% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

BLA 5 of 5 (100%) · AST 10 of 10 (100%)100%

Blackpool FC: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Aston Villa U21: over 0.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100%

Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

BLA 5 of 5 (100%) · AST 9 of 10 (90%)93.3%

Blackpool FC: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Aston Villa U21: over 1.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90%

Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.34

BLA 4 of 5 (80%) · AST 8 of 10 (80%)78.3%

Blackpool FC: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Aston Villa U21: over 2.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75%

BOTH TEAMS SCORE

Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY

1.51

BLA 3 of 5 (60%) · AST 7 of 10 (70%)65%

Blackpool FC: both scored in 3 of 5 at home · Aston Villa U21: both scored in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65%

BLACKPOOL FC GOALS

Blackpool FC Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

BLA 5 of 5 (100%) · AST 9 of 10 (90%)91.7%

Blackpool FC scored in 5 of 5 at home · Aston Villa U21 conceded in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85%

ASTON VILLA U21 GOALS

Aston Villa U21 Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.45

BLA 8 of 10 (80%) · AST 3 of 5 (60%)73.3%

Aston Villa U21 scored in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Blackpool FC conceded in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 80%

HALVES

Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.18

BLA 4 of 5 (80%) · AST 8 of 10 (80%)78.3%

Blackpool FC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Aston Villa U21: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · on half-time scores

Left off the list: Aston Villa U21 or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Aston Villa U21 win or both teams score (no result call); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Aston Villa U21 or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 2–1 7.5%

Blackpool FC goals →

Aston Villa U21 goals ↓

0-02%

1-03%

2-04%

3-03%

4-02%

5-00.8%

0-12%

1-17%

2-18%

3-16%

4-13%

5-12%

0-23%

1-26%

2-27%

3-26%

4-23%

5-22%

0-32%

1-34%

2-35%

3-34%

4-32%

5-31.0%

0-40.8%

1-42%

2-42%

3-42%

4-41.0%

5-40.5%

0-50.3%

1-50.7%

2-50.8%

3-50.6%

4-50.4%

5-50.2%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

BLACKPOOL FCWLLDLLLLWL0.70 PPG

ASTON VILLA U21LLWLLDWDLW1.10 PPG

THE NUMBERS

BLACKPOOL FC HOMExASTON VILLA U21 AWAY

1.50SCORED A GAME1.802.10CONCEDED A GAME2.3020%CLEAN SHEETS10%18%FAILED TO SCORE20%

TRENDS

Blackpool FC failed to score in 18% of their games.

Aston Villa U21 failed to score in 20% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAcornerscards