AFC Wimbledon vs Arsenal U21
Match details. EFL Trophy, Group South - 6. Kick-off is Tue 27 Oct, 19:00 Lagos time. It is played at Plough Lane, Wimbledon.
Form. AFC Wimbledon have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L L D. Arsenal U21 have won one, drawn four and lost five of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D W L. In this competition Arsenal U21 have gone W L.
The numbers. AFC Wimbledon score 0.6 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. AFC Wimbledon average 10.8 shots (2.6 on target), 5.6 corners and 1.2 cards a game, with 43% of the ball. Arsenal U21 score one and concede 2.4 a game in their last seven away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal.
Head to head. The last time they met, on 8 Dec 2020, it finished AFC Wimbledon 3-0 Arsenal U21: AFC Wimbledon had 10 shots to 5, 30% of the ball, seven yellow cards.
The read. AFC Wimbledon to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make AFC Wimbledon the likelier winners; AFC Wimbledon are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour AFC Wimbledon. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 49%.
The bets. Best bet: AFC Wimbledon or Draw at 1.17, 80% on the records (AFC Wimbledon unbeaten in 4 of 5 at home; Arsenal U21 failed to win 6 of 7 away). Backup: Under 4.5 Goals at 1.31. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: AFC Wimbledon or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); AFC Wimbledon or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: AFC Wimbledon 1-0 Arsenal U21 (12% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).