Persebaya Surabaya vs Madura United
Match details. Super League, Regular Season - 7. Kick-off is Mon 26 Oct, 13:00 Lagos time. It is played at Gelora Bung Tomo Stadium, Surabaya.
What's at stake. Persebaya Surabaya are 9th on 9 points after 6 games, 1 point behind Persib Bandung, 1 point clear of PSM Makassar. A win would take them above Persib Bandung. Madura United are 3rd on 13 points after 6 games, 1 point behind Dewa United, 1 point clear of Bali United. A win would take them above Dewa United.
Form. Persebaya Surabaya have won five, drawn four and lost one of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W D W. Madura United have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L W W.
The numbers. Persebaya Surabaya score 2.6 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. Persebaya Surabaya average 11.6 shots (4.9 on target), 7.7 corners and 1.7 cards a game. Madura United score 1.7 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets. Madura United average 10.3 shots (4.6 on target), 4.3 corners and 1.5 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Persebaya Surabaya have won six, drawn two and lost two. Five of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, Persebaya Surabaya won three and Madura United won one. The last time they met, on 17 Apr 2026, it finished Persebaya Surabaya 1-2 Madura United.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 56%.
The case against. Madura United's record still gives them 32% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to a tight game.
The read. Persebaya Surabaya or the draw. A draw is live. An open game. The meetings favour Persebaya Surabaya. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 56%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.18, 75% on the records (Persebaya Surabaya: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home; Madura United: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5). Backup: 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5 at 1.15. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 5.5 Corners (the signs point different ways); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Persebaya Surabaya 2-1 Madura United (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).