CA Sarmiento de la Banda vs CSB Atenas
Match details. Torneo Federal A. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 20:00 Lagos time.
Form. CA Sarmiento de la Banda have won one, drawn four and lost five of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D L L L. CSB Atenas have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D L L.
The numbers. CA Sarmiento de la Banda score 0.8 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. CA Sarmiento de la Banda average 5.4 shots (2.6 on target), 3.4 corners and 2.6 cards a game. CSB Atenas score one and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. CSB Atenas average 9.7 shots (2.5 on target), 5.2 corners and 2.7 cards a game.
The read. A draw. A tight game. Little separates them, and both sides draw often. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 42%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: CSB Atenas or Under 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); CSB Atenas or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); CSB Atenas or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: CA Sarmiento de la Banda 1-1 CSB Atenas (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).