Caudal Deportivo vs Aviles Stadium CF
Match details. Tercera Federacion, Group 2. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 17:30 Lagos time.
Form. Caudal Deportivo have won three, drawn five and lost two of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D D W L. Aviles Stadium CF have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L L W.
The numbers. Caudal Deportivo score 1.2 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. Caudal Deportivo average 10.1 shots (4.2 on target), 4.1 corners and 2.6 cards a game. Aviles Stadium CF score 0.7 and concede 1.5 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and five games without a goal. Aviles Stadium CF average 8.1 shots (3.4 on target), 3.9 corners and 1.7 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 79% against the records' 47%.
The read. No firm call: Caudal Deportivo are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Caudal Deportivo the likelier winners; Caudal Deportivo are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Caudal Deportivo. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 42%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 3.5 Cards (the signs point different ways); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Caudal Deportivo 1-1 Aviles Stadium CF (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).