FC Utrecht vs ADO Den Haag
Match details. Eredivisie, Women. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 16:45 Lagos time.
Form. FC Utrecht have won two, drawn one and lost seven of their last ten league games, 0.7 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L L L L L. ADO Den Haag have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten league games, 1.3 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L L D W W.
The numbers. FC Utrecht score 1.1 and concede 1.9 a game over their last ten, with no clean sheets and six games without a goal. FC Utrecht average 5.2 shots (2.0 on target), 2.2 corners and 1.0 cards a game. ADO Den Haag score 1.8 and concede three a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. ADO Den Haag average 10.8 shots (5.4 on target), 4.6 corners and 1.2 cards a game.
The case against. FC Utrecht's record still gives them 38% to win.
The read. ADO Den Haag to win. An open game. ADO Den Haag are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour ADO Den Haag. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 67%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.17, rated 90% (FC Utrecht: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10; ADO Den Haag: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 away). Predicted score: FC Utrecht 1-2 ADO Den Haag (8% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (ADO Den Haag the favourite), an open game.
Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. Too few cup games on either side to read.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).