MLMON

15:00Sun 25 Oct

SAL

Moneyfields Ladies vs Saltdean United Women

CLASS E

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THE READ

Match details. FA Cup, Women. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.

Form. Moneyfields Ladies have won four, drawn one and lost two of their last seven, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L W W. Saltdean United Women have won two, drawn one and lost two of their last five, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L W D.

The numbers. Moneyfields Ladies score two and concede 1.7 a game over their last seven, with two clean sheets. Saltdean United Women score 0.8 and concede 2.2 a game over their last five, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 73% against the records' 49%.

The read. No firm call: Moneyfields Ladies are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Moneyfields Ladies the likelier winners; Moneyfields Ladies are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Moneyfields Ladies. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 66%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Moneyfields Ladies 2-1 Saltdean United Women (10% chance).

The agreed story. No side to back (Moneyfields Ladies the favourite), an open game.

Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. Too few cup games on either side to read.

So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Moneyfields Ladies or Over 2.5 GoalsHELD · the odds board 91%

1.10

MON 7 of 7 (100%) · SAL 3 of 5 (60%)62%

Moneyfields Ladies: the bet landed in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Saltdean United Women: the bet landed in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80%

GOALS

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

MON 7 of 7 (100%) · SAL 5 of 5 (100%)97%

Moneyfields Ladies: over 0.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Saltdean United Women: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100%

Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.29

MON 5 of 7 (71%) · SAL 3 of 5 (60%)66.7%

Moneyfields Ladies: over 2.5 goals in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Saltdean United Women: over 2.5 goals in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 66%

MONEYFIELDS LADIES GOALS

Moneyfields Ladies Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

MON 6 of 7 (86%) · SAL 4 of 5 (80%)82.9%

Moneyfields Ladies scored in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Saltdean United Women conceded in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83%

SALTDEAN UNITED WOMEN GOALS

Saltdean United Women Over 0.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.37

SAL 3 of 5 (60%) · MON 5 of 7 (71%)65.7%

Saltdean United Women scored in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Moneyfields Ladies conceded in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 66%

Left off the list: Saltdean United Women Under 1.5 goals (Moneyfields Ladies's own games don't back it (3 of 7)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 2–1 9.6%

Moneyfields Ladies goals →

Saltdean United Women goals ↓

0-04%

1-07%

2-08%

3-05%

4-03%

5-01%

0-14%

1-110%

2-110%

3-17%

4-13%

5-11%

0-23%

1-26%

2-26%

3-24%

4-22%

5-20.9%

0-31%

1-33%

2-33%

3-32%

4-30.9%

5-30.4%

0-40.4%

1-40.8%

2-40.8%

3-40.6%

4-40.3%

5-40.1%

0-50.1%

1-50.2%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.1%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).

FORM · LAST 7

MONEYFIELDS LADIESDWWWLWL1.86 PPG

SALTDEAN UNITED WOMENDWLWL1.40 PPG

THE NUMBERS

MONEYFIELDS LADIES HOMExSALTDEAN UNITED WOMEN AWAY

2.00SCORED A GAME0.801.71CONCEDED A GAME2.2029%CLEAN SHEETS20%

TRENDS

Moneyfields Ladies have scored in 86% of their games.

Saltdean United Women have scored in 60% of their games.

Moneyfields Ladies kept a clean sheet in 29% of their games.

Saltdean United Women kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheets