THE READ
Match details. Tercera Federacion, Group 4. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 12:15 Lagos time.
Form. Real Sociedad C have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten league games, 2.0 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L W W D L. Deportivo Alaves C have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten league games, 1.4 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: D W W L L.
The numbers. Real Sociedad C score 2.2 and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and two games without a goal. Real Sociedad C average 10.2 shots (5.2 on target), 5.4 corners and 3.4 cards a game. Deportivo Alaves C score 1.9 and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets. Deportivo Alaves C average 16.4 shots (5.1 on target), 5.9 corners and 2.1 cards a game.
The case against. Deportivo Alaves C's record still gives them 30% to win.
The read. Real Sociedad C to win. An open game. Real Sociedad C are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Real Sociedad C. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 65%.
The bets. Best bet: Real Sociedad C or Draw at 1.35, rated 70% (Real Sociedad C unbeaten in 8 of 10; Deportivo Alaves C failed to win 6 of 10). The safer one: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.24 (85%). Predicted score: Real Sociedad C 2-1 Deportivo Alaves C (9% chance).
The agreed story. Real Sociedad C or the draw, an open game.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Real Sociedad C or Draw (1UP)PAGE ONLY
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REA 4 of 5 (80%) · DEP 4 of 5 (80%)78.1%
Real Sociedad C scored first 3 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Deportivo Alaves C trailed or failed to win in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Real Sociedad C: only games against sides at Deportivo Alaves C's level · Deportivo Alaves C: only games against sides at Real Sociedad C's level
Real Sociedad C or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
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REA 8 of 10 (80%) · DEP 7 of 10 (70%)76%
Real Sociedad C: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Deportivo Alaves C: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · Real Sociedad C: only games against sides at Deportivo Alaves C's level · Deportivo Alaves C: only games against sides at Real Sociedad C's level
Double Chance: Real Sociedad C or DrawMAININ CODES
1.28
REA 8 of 10 (80%) · DEP 6 of 10 (60%)71%
Real Sociedad C unbeaten in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Deportivo Alaves C failed to win 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · Real Sociedad C: only games against sides at Deportivo Alaves C's level · Deportivo Alaves C: only games against sides at Real Sociedad C's level
Real Sociedad C or Both Teams ScorePAGE ONLY
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REA 8 of 10 (80%) · DEP 7 of 10 (70%)68.5%
Real Sociedad C: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Deportivo Alaves C: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · Real Sociedad C: only games against sides at Deportivo Alaves C's level · Deportivo Alaves C: only games against sides at Real Sociedad C's level
Real Sociedad C (Draw No Bet)LEANPAGE ONLY
1.65
REA 6 of 8 (75%) · DEP 4 of 8 (50%)63.5%
Real Sociedad C won 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Deportivo Alaves C lost 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 62% · Real Sociedad C: only games against sides at Deportivo Alaves C's level · Deportivo Alaves C: only games against sides at Real Sociedad C's level · won 4, refunded 2, lost 2
Real Sociedad C or Draw & Over 1.5LEANPAGE ONLY
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REA 6 of 10 (60%) · DEP 6 of 10 (60%)60.4%
Real Sociedad C: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Deportivo Alaves C: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 60% · Real Sociedad C: only games against sides at Deportivo Alaves C's level · Deportivo Alaves C: only games against sides at Real Sociedad C's level
Real Sociedad C 1UPLEANPAGE ONLY
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REA 3 of 5 (60%) · DEP 3 of 5 (60%)45.8%
Real Sociedad C scored first 3 of last 5, led in 3 · led in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Deportivo Alaves C trailed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Real Sociedad C: only games against sides at Deportivo Alaves C's level · Deportivo Alaves C: only games against sides at Real Sociedad C's level
GOALS
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REA 9 of 10 (90%) · DEP 10 of 10 (100%)95%
Real Sociedad C: over 0.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Deportivo Alaves C: over 0.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95% · Real Sociedad C: only games against sides at Deportivo Alaves C's level · Deportivo Alaves C: only games against sides at Real Sociedad C's level
Over 1.5 GoalsSAFERIN CODES
1.25
REA 8 of 10 (80%) · DEP 9 of 10 (90%)86%
Real Sociedad C: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Deportivo Alaves C: over 1.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · Real Sociedad C: only games against sides at Deportivo Alaves C's level · Deportivo Alaves C: only games against sides at Real Sociedad C's level
Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.78
REA 6 of 10 (60%) · DEP 7 of 10 (70%)66%
Real Sociedad C: over 2.5 goals in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Deportivo Alaves C: over 2.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65% · Real Sociedad C: only games against sides at Deportivo Alaves C's level · Deportivo Alaves C: only games against sides at Real Sociedad C's level
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesLEANHELD · the odds board 62%
1.60
REA 5 of 10 (50%) · DEP 7 of 10 (70%)42%
Real Sociedad C: both scored in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Deportivo Alaves C: both scored in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 60% · Real Sociedad C: only games against sides at Deportivo Alaves C's level · Deportivo Alaves C: only games against sides at Real Sociedad C's level
REAL SOCIEDAD C GOALS
Real Sociedad C Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
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REA 8 of 10 (80%) · DEP 7 of 10 (70%)75%
Real Sociedad C scored in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Deportivo Alaves C conceded in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · Real Sociedad C: only games against sides at Deportivo Alaves C's level · Deportivo Alaves C: only games against sides at Real Sociedad C's level
DEPORTIVO ALAVES C GOALS
Deportivo Alaves C Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
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DEP 10 of 10 (100%) · REA 6 of 10 (60%)62%
Deportivo Alaves C scored in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Real Sociedad C conceded in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · Deportivo Alaves C: only games against sides at Real Sociedad C's level · Real Sociedad C: only games against sides at Deportivo Alaves C's level
CARDS
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REA 5 of 5 (100%) · DEP 4 of 7 (57%)78.6%
Real Sociedad C's games: over 3.5 cards in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Deportivo Alaves C's games: over 3.5 cards in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · Real Sociedad C: only games against sides at Deportivo Alaves C's level · Deportivo Alaves C: only games against sides at Real Sociedad C's level
Left off the list: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Real Sociedad C Over 1.5 goals (Deportivo Alaves C's own games don't back it (5 of 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))