Match details. Tercera Federacion, Group 8. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 12:00 Lagos time.
Form. Unionistas de Salamanca CF B have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L D L. CD Guijuelo have won five, drawn none and lost five of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L L W.
The numbers. Unionistas de Salamanca CF B score 0.6 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Unionistas de Salamanca CF B average 14.7 shots (6.7 on target), 4.3 corners and 3.7 cards a game. CD Guijuelo score 1.3 and concede 1.2 a game in their last six away, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. CD Guijuelo average 8.8 shots (4.2 on target), 4.0 corners and 4.4 cards a game.
The case against. Unionistas de Salamanca CF B's record still gives them 37% to win.
The read. CD Guijuelo to win. A tight game. CD Guijuelo are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour CD Guijuelo. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 34%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: CD Guijuelo or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); CD Guijuelo Over 0.5 Goals (CD Guijuelo's own games don't back it (3 of 6)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Unionistas de Salamanca CF B 0-1 CD Guijuelo (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).