Match details. Tercera Federacion, Group 7. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 12:00 Lagos time.
Form. CF Pozuelo de Alarcon have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L W D. AD Torrejon CF have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W L L.
The numbers. CF Pozuelo de Alarcon score 2.6 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. CF Pozuelo de Alarcon average 8.6 shots (4.9 on target), 4.3 corners and 3.3 cards a game. AD Torrejon CF score 1.2 and concede one a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and four games without a goal. AD Torrejon CF average 9.9 shots (4.0 on target), 4.9 corners and 2.6 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 48%.
The case against. AD Torrejon CF's record still gives them 23% to win.
The read. CF Pozuelo de Alarcon to win. CF Pozuelo de Alarcon are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour CF Pozuelo de Alarcon.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: CF Pozuelo de Alarcon 2-1 AD Torrejon CF (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).