Match details. Tercera Federacion, Group 5. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 12:00 Lagos time.
Form. FC Martinenc have won two, drawn three and lost two of their last seven, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W L D. CP San Cristobal have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W L W.
The numbers. FC Martinenc score 1.9 and concede 2.3 a game over their last seven, with no clean sheets. FC Martinenc average 6.5 shots (3.0 on target), 3.2 corners and 4.0 cards a game. CP San Cristobal score 0.6 and concede 2.2 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. CP San Cristobal average 8.4 shots (3.1 on target), 3.7 corners and 3.5 cards a game.
The case against. CP San Cristobal's record still gives them 26% to win.
The read. FC Martinenc to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make FC Martinenc the likelier winners; FC Martinenc are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour FC Martinenc. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 73%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: CP San Cristobal or Over 2.5 Goals (the call backs FC Martinenc); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: FC Martinenc 2-1 CP San Cristobal (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).