Match details. Tercera Federacion, Group 5. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 12:00 Lagos time.
Form. CF Montanesa have won four, drawn none and lost six of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L L W. UE Vilassar de Mar have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L L L.
The numbers. CF Montanesa score 0.9 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and five games without a goal. CF Montanesa average 7.4 shots (3.1 on target), 3.9 corners and 2.7 cards a game. UE Vilassar de Mar score 0.8 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. UE Vilassar de Mar average 9.3 shots (3.8 on target), 3.2 corners and 2.8 cards a game.
The case against. UE Vilassar de Mar's record still gives them 35% to win.
The read. CF Montanesa to win. A tight game. CF Montanesa are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour CF Montanesa. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 45%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: CF Montanesa or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); CF Montanesa Over 0.5 Goals (CF Montanesa's own games don't back it (5 of 10)); CF Montanesa or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: CF Montanesa 1-0 UE Vilassar de Mar (12% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
CF Montanesa or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CFM 8 of 10 (80%) · UEV 4 of 5 (80%)78.3%
CF Montanesa: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · UE Vilassar de Mar: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 75% · CF Montanesa: only games against sides at UE Vilassar de Mar's level · UE Vilassar de Mar: only games against sides at CF Montanesa's level
CF Montanesa or Both Teams ScorePAGE ONLY
no price yet
CFM 5 of 10 (50%) · UEV 5 of 5 (100%)71.7%
CF Montanesa: the bet landed in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · UE Vilassar de Mar: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 65% · CF Montanesa: only games against sides at UE Vilassar de Mar's level · UE Vilassar de Mar: only games against sides at CF Montanesa's level
CF Montanesa or Draw (1UP)LEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CFM 3 of 5 (60%) · UEV 5 of 9 (56%)66.3%
CF Montanesa scored first 3 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 3 · led or was unbeaten in 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · UE Vilassar de Mar trailed or failed to win in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · CF Montanesa: only games against sides at UE Vilassar de Mar's level · UE Vilassar de Mar: only games against sides at CF Montanesa's level
CF Montanesa 1UPLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CFM 3 of 5 (60%) · UEV 5 of 9 (56%)66.3%
CF Montanesa scored first 3 of last 5, led in 3 · led in 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · UE Vilassar de Mar trailed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · CF Montanesa: only games against sides at UE Vilassar de Mar's level · UE Vilassar de Mar: only games against sides at CF Montanesa's level
CF Montanesa (Draw No Bet)LEANHELD · the odds board 74%
1.35
CFM 4 of 10 (40%) · UEV 5 of 8 (62%)51.3%
CF Montanesa won 4 of 10 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · UE Vilassar de Mar lost 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 51% · CF Montanesa: only games against sides at UE Vilassar de Mar's level · UE Vilassar de Mar: only games against sides at CF Montanesa's level · won 6, refunded 2, lost 1
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CFM 10 of 10 (100%) · UEV 5 of 5 (100%)98.3%
CF Montanesa: under 5.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · UE Vilassar de Mar: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 95% · CF Montanesa: only games against sides at UE Vilassar de Mar's level · UE Vilassar de Mar: only games against sides at CF Montanesa's level
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CFM 8 of 10 (80%) · UEV 5 of 5 (100%)88.3%
CF Montanesa: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · UE Vilassar de Mar: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 85% · CF Montanesa: only games against sides at UE Vilassar de Mar's level · UE Vilassar de Mar: only games against sides at CF Montanesa's level
UE VILASSAR DE MAR GOALS
UE Vilassar de Mar Over 0.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.51
CFM 3 of 5 (60%) · UEV 6 of 10 (60%)61.7%
UE Vilassar de Mar scored in 3 of 5 away · CF Montanesa conceded in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65% · UE Vilassar de Mar: only games against sides at CF Montanesa's level · CF Montanesa: only games against sides at UE Vilassar de Mar's level
CARDS
Over 2.5 CardsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CFM 7 of 9 (78%) · UEV 6 of 6 (100%)88.9%
CF Montanesa's games: over 2.5 cards in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · UE Vilassar de Mar's games: over 2.5 cards in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 89% · CF Montanesa: only games against sides at UE Vilassar de Mar's level · UE Vilassar de Mar: only games against sides at CF Montanesa's level
Left off the list: CF Montanesa or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); CF Montanesa Over 0.5 Goals (CF Montanesa's own games don't back it (5 of 10)); CF Montanesa or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–011.5%
CF Montanesa goals →
UE Vilassar de Mar goals ↓
0-011%
1-012%
2-08%
3-03%
4-01.0%
5-00.2%
0-110%
1-114%
2-18%
3-13%
4-11%
5-10.3%
0-26%
1-27%
2-24%
3-22%
4-20.6%
5-20.1%
0-32%
1-33%
2-32%
3-30.6%
4-30.2%
5-30.0%
0-40.5%
1-40.7%
2-40.4%
3-40.2%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.1%
2-50.1%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).
FORM · LAST 10
CF MONTANESALLLWWWLLWL1.20 PPG
UE VILASSAR DE MARDWLWLLLLDW1.10 PPG
THE NUMBERS
CF MONTANESA HOMExUE VILASSAR DE MAR AWAY
0.90SCORED A GAME1.301.20CONCEDED A GAME1.8040%CLEAN SHEETS20%3.89CORNERS A GAME3.172.67CARDS A GAME2.83
TRENDS
CF Montanesa have scored in 50% of their games.
UE Vilassar de Mar have scored in 70% of their games.
CF Montanesa kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.
UE Vilassar de Mar kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards