CE Europa B vs CF Vilanova I LA Geltru
Match details. Tercera Federacion, Group 5. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 12:00 Lagos time.
Form. CE Europa B have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W W D. CF Vilanova I LA Geltru have won five, drawn four and lost one of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D D W D.
The numbers. CE Europa B score 0.6 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. CE Europa B average 9.8 shots (3.4 on target), 5.0 corners and 1.8 cards a game. CF Vilanova I LA Geltru score 1.4 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five away, with three clean sheets. CF Vilanova I LA Geltru average 10.8 shots (4.6 on target), 3.7 corners and 2.6 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 35% against the records' 63%.
The read. No firm call: CF Vilanova I LA Geltru are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Their goals for and against make CF Vilanova I LA Geltru the likelier winners; CF Vilanova I LA Geltru are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour CF Vilanova I LA Geltru. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 40%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.23, 85% on the records (CE Europa B: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home; CF Vilanova I LA Geltru: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Backup: CE Europa B Under 1.5 Goals at 1.45. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 3.5 Cards (the signs point different ways); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: CE Europa B 0-1 CF Vilanova I LA Geltru (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).