Match details. Tercera Federacion, Group 15. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 12:00 Lagos time.
Form. CD Subiza have won three, drawn two and lost three of their last eight league games, 1.4 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L W L W D. CD Cortes Navarre have won one, drawn three and lost six of their last ten league games, 0.6 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L D L D L.
The numbers. CD Subiza score 1.8 and concede 1.4 a game over their last eight, with two clean sheets. CD Subiza average 9.5 shots (4.5 on target), 3.0 corners and 2.0 cards a game. CD Cortes Navarre score 0.6 and concede 2.2 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. CD Cortes Navarre average 1.0 corners and 0.0 cards a game.
The case against. CD Cortes Navarre's record still gives them 22% to win.
The read. CD Subiza to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make CD Subiza the likelier winners; CD Subiza are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour CD Subiza. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 57%.
The bets. Best bet: CD Subiza or Draw at 1.14, rated 78% (CD Subiza unbeaten in 6 of 10; CD Cortes Navarre failed to win 5 of 5 away). Predicted score: CD Subiza 2-1 CD Cortes Navarre (10% chance).
The agreed story. CD Subiza or the draw, an open game.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).