SPAIN AMATEUR - TERCERA FEDERACION, GROUP 13

SMSFC

11:30Sun 25 Oct

COT

SFC Minerva vs Cotillas CD

CLASS E

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THE READ

Match details. Tercera Federacion, Group 13. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 11:30 Lagos time.

Form. SFC Minerva have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten league games, 1.4 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L W D L D. Cotillas CD have won two, drawn one and lost three of their last six league games, 1.2 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L W L L D.

The numbers. SFC Minerva score 1.2 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. SFC Minerva average 8.8 shots (2.6 on target), 4.4 corners and 3.4 cards a game. Cotillas CD score 1.2 and concede 1.5 a game over their last six, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Cotillas CD average 6.8 shots (3.4 on target), 2.8 corners and 3.0 cards a game.

The case against. Cotillas CD's record still gives them 30% to win.

The read. SFC Minerva to win. A tight game. SFC Minerva are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour SFC Minerva. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 43%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: SFC Minerva 1-0 Cotillas CD (10% chance).

The agreed story. SFC Minerva or the draw, a tight game.

So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

SFC 5 of 5 (100%) · COT 6 of 6 (100%)97%

SFC Minerva: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Cotillas CD: under 5.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · SFC Minerva: only games against sides at Cotillas CD's level · Cotillas CD: only games against sides at SFC Minerva's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

SFC 4 of 5 (80%) · COT 6 of 6 (100%)92.7%

SFC Minerva: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Cotillas CD: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95% · SFC Minerva: only games against sides at Cotillas CD's level · Cotillas CD: only games against sides at SFC Minerva's level

CARDS

Over 3.5 CardsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

SFC 4 of 5 (80%) · COT 4 of 5 (80%)79.2%

SFC Minerva's games: over 3.5 cards in 4 of 5 at home · Cotillas CD's games: over 3.5 cards in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 78% · SFC Minerva: only games against sides at Cotillas CD's level · Cotillas CD: only games against sides at SFC Minerva's level

Left off the list: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–0 10.4%

SFC Minerva goals →

Cotillas CD goals ↓

0-09%

1-010%

2-08%

3-03%

4-01%

5-00.3%

0-19%

1-114%

2-19%

3-14%

4-11%

5-10.4%

0-25%

1-27%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.8%

5-20.2%

0-32%

1-33%

2-32%

3-30.8%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.6%

1-40.8%

2-40.5%

3-40.2%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.2%

2-50.1%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

SFC MINERVALWLWWDLDWL1.40 PPG

COTILLAS CDWDLLWL1.17 PPG

THE NUMBERS

SFC MINERVA HOMExCOTILLAS CD AWAY

0.80SCORED A GAME1.171.10CONCEDED A GAME1.5040%CLEAN SHEETS0%4.38CORNERS A GAME2.803.38CARDS A GAME3.00

TRENDS

SFC Minerva have scored in 50% of their games.

Cotillas CD have scored in 67% of their games.

SFC Minerva kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

Cotillas CD kept a clean sheet in 0% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards