SSSEP

14:15Sun 25 Oct

MES

Sepahan SC vs Mes Shahr-e Babak

CLASS D

THE READ

Match details. Pro League, Regular Season - 10. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 14:15 Lagos time. It is played at Naghsh-e-Jahan Stadium, Isfahan.

What's at stake. Sepahan SC are 4th on 17 points after 9 games, 3 points behind Esteghlal FC, 1 point clear of Foolad FC. A win would take them level on points with Esteghlal FC. Mes Shahr-e Babak are 18th on 5 points after 9 games, 1 point behind Esteghlal Khuzestan. A win would take them above Esteghlal Khuzestan.

Form. Sepahan SC have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W W D. Mes Shahr-e Babak have won one, drawn five and lost four of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D L D.

The numbers. Sepahan SC score 1.3 and concede 0.6 a game over their last ten, with six clean sheets and five games without a goal. Sepahan SC average 0.2 cards a game. Mes Shahr-e Babak score one and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Mes Shahr-e Babak average 0.3 cards a game.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 80% against the records' 47%.

The read. No firm call: Sepahan SC are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Sepahan SC the likelier winners; Sepahan SC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Sepahan SC. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 32%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 3.5 Goals (Sepahan SC are a clear winner, no Unders); Sepahan SC Over 0.5 Goals (Sepahan SC's own games don't back it (5 of 10)); Under 2.5 Goals (Sepahan SC are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Sepahan SC 1-0 Mes Shahr-e Babak (12% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Sepahan SC or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

SEP 10 of 10 (100%) · MES 9 of 9 (100%)100%

Sepahan SC: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Mes Shahr-e Babak: the bet landed in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Sepahan SC: only games against sides at Mes Shahr-e Babak's level · Mes Shahr-e Babak: only games against sides at Sepahan SC's level

HALVES

1st Half Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

SEP 9 of 10 (90%) · MES 9 of 9 (100%)95%

Sepahan SC: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Mes Shahr-e Babak: the bet landed in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95% · on half-time scores · Sepahan SC: only games against sides at Mes Shahr-e Babak's level · Mes Shahr-e Babak: only games against sides at Sepahan SC's level

1st Half - GG/NG: NoPAGE ONLY

1.10

SEP 9 of 10 (90%) · MES 9 of 9 (100%)95%

Under 1.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.42

SEP 6 of 10 (60%) · MES 9 of 9 (100%)80%

Sepahan SC: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Mes Shahr-e Babak: the bet landed in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · on half-time scores · Sepahan SC: only games against sides at Mes Shahr-e Babak's level · Mes Shahr-e Babak: only games against sides at Sepahan SC's level

Left off the list: Under 3.5 Goals (Sepahan SC are a clear winner - no Unders); Sepahan SC Over 0.5 Goals (Sepahan SC's own games don't back it (5 of 10)); Under 2.5 Goals (Sepahan SC are a clear winner - no Unders); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Under 4.5 Goals (Sepahan SC are a clear winner - no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (Sepahan SC are a clear winner - no Unders)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–0 11.9%

Sepahan SC goals →

Mes Shahr-e Babak goals ↓

0-08%

1-012%

2-011%

3-06%

4-03%

5-01.0%

0-16%

1-112%

2-110%

3-16%

4-12%

5-10.9%

0-23%

1-25%

2-24%

3-23%

4-21%

5-20.4%

0-30.8%

1-31%

2-31%

3-30.7%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.2%

1-40.3%

2-40.3%

3-40.2%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.0%

1-50.1%

2-50.0%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

SEPAHAN SCDWLLWDWWWD1.80 PPG

MES SHAHR-E BABAKWLDDDDLDLL0.80 PPG

THE NUMBERS

SEPAHAN SC HOMExMES SHAHR-E BABAK AWAY

1.30SCORED A GAME0.800.60CONCEDED A GAME1.5060%CLEAN SHEETS20%44%FAILED TO SCORE33%0.00CORNERS A GAME0.000.17CARDS A GAME0.14

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

SEPAHAN SC OR DRAW (1UP)

–

137 OF 146

NO PRICE YET

The tips call a clear winner and every tip has the favourite winning by 2+.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

1.89POINTS A GAME0.56+0.78GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-1.00–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–2.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.49LEAGUE GAMES9

Sepahan SC: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, better form (last 5).

SEPAHAN SC 2:0 HANDICAP

–

389 OF 413

NO PRICE YET

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

82%

OKAY · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

34%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

97%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

SEPAHAN SC OR DRAW

88%

VERY GOOD · 80/85

MES SHAHR-E BABAK OR DRAW

38%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (9 and 9 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

SEPAHAN SCxMES SHAHR-E BABAK

5GAMES51.80SCORED A GAME0.800.40CONCEDED A GAME1.802.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.640%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%40%BOTH SCORE80%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

Sepahan SC have scored in 50% of their games.

Mes Shahr-e Babak have scored in 70% of their games.

Sepahan SC kept a clean sheet in 60% of their games.

Mes Shahr-e Babak kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards