Match details. Pro League, Regular Season - 10. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 14:15 Lagos time. It is played at Azadi Stadium, Tehran, a neutral ground.
What's at stake. Persepolis FC are 1st on 20 points after 9 games, level on points with Tractor Sazi. Foolad Khuzestan FC are 5th on 16 points after 9 games, 1 point behind Sepahan FC, 2 points clear of Aluminium Arak. A win would take them above Sepahan FC.
Form. Persepolis FC have won six, drawn three and lost one of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W W D. Foolad Khuzestan FC have won five, drawn four and lost one of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W W L.
The numbers. Persepolis FC score 1.9 and concede 0.5 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets and two games without a goal. Persepolis FC average 0.0 cards a game. Foolad Khuzestan FC score 1.1 and concede 0.5 a game over their last ten, with six clean sheets and four games without a goal. Foolad Khuzestan FC average 1.2 shots (1.0 on target), 0.8 corners and 0.0 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Persepolis FC have won four, drawn three and lost three. Two of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, Persepolis FC won one, two were drawn and Foolad Khuzestan FC won one. The last time they met, on 28 Jan 2026, it finished Persepolis FC 1-3 Foolad Khuzestan FC.
The case against. Foolad Khuzestan FC's record still gives them 27% to win.
The read. Persepolis FC to win. A tight game. Persepolis FC are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 35%. Eight of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 3.5 Goals (Persepolis FC are a clear winner, no Unders); Persepolis FC Over 0.5 Goals (Foolad Khuzestan FC's own games don't back it (4 of 10)); Under 2.5 Goals (Persepolis FC are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Persepolis FC 1-0 Foolad Khuzestan FC (12% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).