HRHEI

19:00Sat 24 Oct

ADC

Heips RJ vs AD Cabofriense RJ

CLASS E

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THE READ

Match details. Carioca, Women. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 19:00 Lagos time.

Form. Heips RJ have won five, drawn none and lost five of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W W L. AD Cabofriense RJ have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W W L.

The numbers. Heips RJ score 1.8 and concede 1.4 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and five games without a goal. Heips RJ average 8.7 shots (4.3 on target), 3.7 corners and 2.7 cards a game. AD Cabofriense RJ score one and concede four a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. AD Cabofriense RJ average 5.7 corners and 1.0 cards a game.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 83% against the records' 48%.

The read. No firm call: Heips RJ are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Heips RJ the likelier winners; Heips RJ are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Heips RJ. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 58%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Heips RJ 2-1 AD Cabofriense RJ (8% chance).

The agreed story. No side to back (Heips RJ the favourite), an open game.

Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. Too few cup games on either side to read.

So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

HEI 10 of 10 (100%) · ADC 5 of 5 (100%)97%

Heips RJ: over 0.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · AD Cabofriense RJ: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 100% · AD Cabofriense RJ: only games against sides at Heips RJ's level

Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

HEI 8 of 10 (80%) · ADC 4 of 5 (80%)82.7%

Heips RJ: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · AD Cabofriense RJ: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 85% · AD Cabofriense RJ: only games against sides at Heips RJ's level

Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

no price yet

HEI 5 of 10 (50%) · ADC 3 of 5 (60%)59.3%

Heips RJ: over 2.5 goals in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · AD Cabofriense RJ: over 2.5 goals in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 65% · AD Cabofriense RJ: only games against sides at Heips RJ's level

AD CABOFRIENSE RJ GOALS

AD Cabofriense RJ Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ADC 4 of 5 (80%) · HEI 8 of 10 (80%)78.3%

AD Cabofriense RJ scored in 4 of 5 away · Heips RJ conceded in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · AD Cabofriense RJ: only games against sides at Heips RJ's level

Left off the list: Heips RJ or Over 2.5 Goals (the numbers (88%) and the records (63%) are 25 points apart, and nothing settles it); Heips RJ or Both Teams Score (the numbers (94%) and the records (67%) are 27 points apart, and nothing settles it); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Heips RJ Over 0.5 Goals (Heips RJ's own games don't back it (5 of 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 2–1 8.5%

Heips RJ goals →

AD Cabofriense RJ goals ↓

0-02%

1-05%

2-07%

3-06%

4-05%

5-03%

0-12%

1-16%

2-19%

3-18%

4-16%

5-13%

0-21%

1-24%

2-25%

3-25%

4-23%

5-22%

0-30.6%

1-32%

2-32%

3-32%

4-31%

5-30.8%

0-40.2%

1-40.5%

2-40.7%

3-40.6%

4-40.4%

5-40.3%

0-50.0%

1-50.1%

2-50.2%

3-50.2%

4-50.1%

5-50.1%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

HEIPS RJWLWLLLWWWL1.50 PPG

AD CABOFRIENSE RJWLDLLLWWLL1.00 PPG

THE NUMBERS

HEIPS RJ HOMExAD CABOFRIENSE RJ AWAY

1.80SCORED A GAME1.301.40CONCEDED A GAME4.0020%CLEAN SHEETS10%3.67CORNERS A GAME5.672.67CARDS A GAME1.00

TRENDS

Heips RJ have scored in 50% of their games.

AD Cabofriense RJ have scored in 70% of their games.

Heips RJ kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

AD Cabofriense RJ kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards