Match details. Serie D, Group H. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.
Form. ASD Real Normanna have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L D L W. Turris Calcio have won six, drawn four and lost none of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D D W.
The numbers. ASD Real Normanna score 1.2 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. ASD Real Normanna average 9.8 shots (2.8 on target), 3.5 corners and 2.0 cards a game. Turris Calcio score 1.2 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Turris Calcio average 9.5 shots (4.3 on target), 5.2 corners and 1.8 cards a game.
The read. Turris Calcio to win. An open game. Turris Calcio are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Turris Calcio. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 56%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 3.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Turris Calcio or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: ASD Real Normanna 1-2 Turris Calcio (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).