ANACN

15:00Sun 25 Oct

FID

AC Nardo vs Fidelis Andria

CLASS E

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THE READ

Match details. Serie D, Group H. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.

Form. AC Nardo have won one, drawn three and lost six of their last ten, 0.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L L W. Fidelis Andria have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D W L.

The numbers. AC Nardo score 0.8 and concede 1.8 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and four games without a goal. AC Nardo average 5.8 shots (1.8 on target), 2.8 corners and 1.2 cards a game. Fidelis Andria score 0.8 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Fidelis Andria average 11.4 shots (4.2 on target), 3.8 corners and 2.0 cards a game.

The case against. AC Nardo's record still gives them 31% to win.

The read. Fidelis Andria to win. A tight game. Fidelis Andria are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Fidelis Andria. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 47%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Fidelis Andria or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Fidelis Andria or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: AC Nardo 0-1 Fidelis Andria (9% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Fidelis Andria or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ACN 6 of 8 (75%) · FID 8 of 9 (89%)81.9%

Fidelis Andria: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · AC Nardo: the bet landed in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 82% · Fidelis Andria: only games against sides at AC Nardo's level · AC Nardo: only games against sides at Fidelis Andria's level

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ACN 8 of 9 (89%) · FID 8 of 8 (100%)95.3%

AC Nardo: under 5.5 goals in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Fidelis Andria: under 5.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · AC Nardo: only games against sides at Fidelis Andria's level · Fidelis Andria: only games against sides at AC Nardo's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ACN 8 of 9 (89%) · FID 7 of 8 (88%)88.2%

AC Nardo: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Fidelis Andria: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · AC Nardo: only games against sides at Fidelis Andria's level · Fidelis Andria: only games against sides at AC Nardo's level

BOTH TEAMS SCORE

Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY

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ACN 5 of 9 (56%) · FID 5 of 8 (62%)52.9%

AC Nardo: both scored in 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Fidelis Andria: both scored in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 59% · AC Nardo: only games against sides at Fidelis Andria's level · Fidelis Andria: only games against sides at AC Nardo's level

AC NARDO GOALS

AC Nardo Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ACN 5 of 9 (56%) · FID 7 of 8 (88%)72.4%

AC Nardo scored in 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Fidelis Andria conceded in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 72% · AC Nardo: only games against sides at Fidelis Andria's level · Fidelis Andria: only games against sides at AC Nardo's level

FIDELIS ANDRIA GOALS

Fidelis Andria Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ACN 6 of 8 (75%) · FID 8 of 9 (89%)72.2%

Fidelis Andria scored in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · AC Nardo conceded in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 82% · Fidelis Andria: only games against sides at AC Nardo's level · AC Nardo: only games against sides at Fidelis Andria's level

Left off the list: Fidelis Andria or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Fidelis Andria or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 0–1 9.1%

AC Nardo goals →

Fidelis Andria goals ↓

0-08%

1-09%

2-06%

3-03%

4-00.9%

5-00.2%

0-19%

1-113%

2-18%

3-13%

4-11%

5-10.3%

0-26%

1-28%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.7%

5-20.2%

0-33%

1-33%

2-32%

3-31.0%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.9%

1-41%

2-40.7%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.2%

1-50.3%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

AC NARDOLLLDDWLLDL0.60 PPG

FIDELIS ANDRIADLLDLLWDWW1.20 PPG

THE NUMBERS

AC NARDO HOMExFIDELIS ANDRIA AWAY

0.80SCORED A GAME1.101.80CONCEDED A GAME1.4010%CLEAN SHEETS10%2.75CORNERS A GAME3.801.25CARDS A GAME2.00

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

0.33POINTS A GAME1.00-1.50GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.57–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–0.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.46LEAGUE GAMES7

Fidelis Andria: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, better form (last 5).

FIDELIS ANDRIA 0:2 HANDICAP

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373 OF 433

NO PRICE YET

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

86%

VERY GOOD · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

44%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

83%

NO · 85/90

AC NARDO OR DRAW

78%

NO · 80/85

FIDELIS ANDRIA OR DRAW

52%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (6 and 7 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

AC NARDOxFIDELIS ANDRIA

5GAMES50.60SCORED A GAME1.402.00CONCEDED A GAME1.602.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.080%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%40%BOTH SCORE80%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

AC Nardo have scored in 60% of their games.

Fidelis Andria have scored in 80% of their games.

AC Nardo kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

Fidelis Andria kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards