ALATL

14:30Sun 25 Oct

USV

Atletico Lodigiani vs US Venafro

CLASS E

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THE READ

Match details. Serie D, Group G. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 14:30 Lagos time.

Form. Atletico Lodigiani have won one, drawn one and lost eight of their last ten, 0.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L L. US Venafro have won two, drawn two and lost five of their last nine, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W L L.

The numbers. Atletico Lodigiani score one and concede 2.4 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and four games without a goal. Atletico Lodigiani average 9.8 shots (2.8 on target), 5.0 corners and 1.8 cards a game. US Venafro score 0.8 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. US Venafro average 4.0 corners and 3.0 cards a game.

The case against. Atletico Lodigiani's record still gives them 31% to win.

The read. US Venafro to win. A tight game. US Venafro are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour US Venafro. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 46%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Atletico Lodigiani 0-1 US Venafro (9% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ATL 8 of 9 (89%) · USV 8 of 8 (100%)95.1%

Atletico Lodigiani: under 5.5 goals in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · US Venafro: under 5.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · Atletico Lodigiani: only games against sides at US Venafro's level · US Venafro: only games against sides at Atletico Lodigiani's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ATL 6 of 9 (67%) · USV 7 of 8 (88%)87.8%

Atletico Lodigiani: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · US Venafro: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 77% · Atletico Lodigiani: only games against sides at US Venafro's level · US Venafro: only games against sides at Atletico Lodigiani's level

BOTH TEAMS SCORE

Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ATL 5 of 9 (56%) · USV 3 of 8 (38%)53.5%

Atletico Lodigiani: both scored in 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · US Venafro: both scored in 3 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 47% · Atletico Lodigiani: only games against sides at US Venafro's level · US Venafro: only games against sides at Atletico Lodigiani's level

ATLETICO LODIGIANI GOALS

Atletico Lodigiani Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ATL 6 of 9 (67%) · USV 6 of 8 (75%)72.2%

Atletico Lodigiani scored in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · US Venafro conceded in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 71% · Atletico Lodigiani: only games against sides at US Venafro's level · US Venafro: only games against sides at Atletico Lodigiani's level

US VENAFRO GOALS

US Venafro Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ATL 5 of 8 (62%) · USV 8 of 9 (89%)73.2%

US Venafro scored in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Atletico Lodigiani conceded in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 76% · US Venafro: only games against sides at Atletico Lodigiani's level · Atletico Lodigiani: only games against sides at US Venafro's level

Left off the list: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 0–1 9.1%

Atletico Lodigiani goals →

US Venafro goals ↓

0-08%

1-09%

2-06%

3-03%

4-00.8%

5-00.2%

0-19%

1-113%

2-18%

3-13%

4-11%

5-10.3%

0-26%

1-28%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.7%

5-20.2%

0-33%

1-34%

2-32%

3-31.0%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.9%

1-41%

2-40.8%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.2%

1-50.3%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

ATLETICO LODIGIANIWLLLDLLLLL0.40 PPG

US VENAFROLLDLLLWDW0.89 PPG

THE NUMBERS

ATLETICO LODIGIANI HOMExUS VENAFRO AWAY

1.00SCORED A GAME0.782.40CONCEDED A GAME1.4410%CLEAN SHEETS22%5.00CORNERS A GAME4.001.80CARDS A GAME3.00

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

0.14POINTS A GAME0.83-1.86GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.83-3.2SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–0.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.87LEAGUE GAMES6

US Venafro: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

77%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

63%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

68%

NO · 85/90

ATLETICO LODIGIANI OR DRAW

66%

NO · 80/85

US VENAFRO OR DRAW

81%

OKAY · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (7 and 6 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

ATLETICO LODIGIANIxUS VENAFRO

5GAMES51.00SCORED A GAME0.802.60CONCEDED A GAME1.803.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.680%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%80%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%60%BOTH SCORE40%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

Atletico Lodigiani have scored in 60% of their games.

US Venafro have scored in 67% of their games.

Atletico Lodigiani kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

US Venafro kept a clean sheet in 22% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards