Match details. Serie D, Group G. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 14:30 Lagos time.
Form. Asd Anzio Calcio 1924 have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D W W L. AC Afragolese have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L L W.
The numbers. Asd Anzio Calcio 1924 score 1.4 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. AC Afragolese score none and concede 1.2 a game in their last six away, with three clean sheets and six games without a goal. AC Afragolese average 10.5 shots (4.0 on target), 3.5 corners and 1.5 cards a game.
The read. Asd Anzio Calcio 1924 to win. A tight game. Asd Anzio Calcio 1924 are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Asd Anzio Calcio 1924. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 38%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Asd Anzio Calcio 1924 Over 0.5 Goals (AC Afragolese's own games don't back it (2 of 5)). Predicted score: Asd Anzio Calcio 1924 1-0 AC Afragolese (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).