TERTER

14:30Sun 25 Oct

ATL

Termoli vs Atletico Ascoli

CLASS E

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THE READ

Match details. Serie D, Group F. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 14:30 Lagos time.

Form. Termoli have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D W L. Atletico Ascoli have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L L W.

The numbers. Termoli score 0.9 and concede one a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and four games without a goal. Atletico Ascoli score 1.3 and concede 1.8 a game in their last six away, with one clean sheet. Atletico Ascoli average 20.7 shots (5.3 on target), 5.0 corners and 1.0 cards a game.

Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: Atletico Ascoli are the stronger side on form and the table, but both teams' records favour Termoli. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 50%.

The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.

The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Leave: Atletico Ascoli or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Atletico Ascoli or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Atletico Ascoli or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call). Predicted score: Termoli 1-1 Atletico Ascoli (13% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

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TER 8 of 8 (100%) · ATL 4 of 5 (80%)94.7%

Termoli: under 5.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Atletico Ascoli: under 5.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 89% · Termoli: only games against sides at Atletico Ascoli's level · Atletico Ascoli: only games against sides at Termoli's level

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

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TER 7 of 8 (88%) · ATL 4 of 5 (80%)92.3%

Termoli: over 0.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Atletico Ascoli: over 0.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 88% · Termoli: only games against sides at Atletico Ascoli's level · Atletico Ascoli: only games against sides at Termoli's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

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TER 8 of 8 (100%) · ATL 4 of 5 (80%)87%

Termoli: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Atletico Ascoli: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 89% · Termoli: only games against sides at Atletico Ascoli's level · Atletico Ascoli: only games against sides at Termoli's level

Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

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TER 4 of 8 (50%) · ATL 4 of 5 (80%)74.8%

Termoli: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Atletico Ascoli: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 58% · Termoli: only games against sides at Atletico Ascoli's level · Atletico Ascoli: only games against sides at Termoli's level

BOTH TEAMS SCORE

Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY

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TER 2 of 8 (25%) · ATL 4 of 5 (80%)54.5%

Termoli: both scored in 2 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Atletico Ascoli: both scored in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 46% · Termoli: only games against sides at Atletico Ascoli's level · Atletico Ascoli: only games against sides at Termoli's level

ATLETICO ASCOLI GOALS

Atletico Ascoli Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

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TER 4 of 5 (80%) · ATL 5 of 8 (62%)72.6%

Atletico Ascoli scored in 4 of 5 away · Termoli conceded in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · Atletico Ascoli: only games against sides at Termoli's level · Termoli: only games against sides at Atletico Ascoli's level

Left off the list: Atletico Ascoli or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Atletico Ascoli or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Atletico Ascoli or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call); Termoli Over 0.5 Goals (Termoli's own games don't back it (4 of 8))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 13.1%

Termoli goals →

Atletico Ascoli goals ↓

0-08%

1-09%

2-06%

3-03%

4-01.0%

5-00.3%

0-18%

1-113%

2-18%

3-14%

4-11%

5-10.3%

0-26%

1-28%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.8%

5-20.2%

0-33%

1-33%

2-32%

3-31%

4-30.4%

5-30.1%

0-40.8%

1-41%

2-40.8%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.2%

1-50.3%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).

FORM · LAST 10

TERMOLIDLWDLLWDWL1.20 PPG

ATLETICO ASCOLILDLWDWLLWW1.40 PPG

THE NUMBERS

TERMOLI HOMExATLETICO ASCOLI AWAY

0.90SCORED A GAME1.601.00CONCEDED A GAME1.4030%CLEAN SHEETS20%

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.00POINTS A GAME1.67-0.33GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.00–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–1.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.06LEAGUE GAMES6

Atletico Ascoli: the quality side - more points a game, better form (last 5).

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

56%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

39%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

93%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

TERMOLI OR DRAW

71%

NO · 80/85

ATLETICO ASCOLI OR DRAW

43%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (6 and 6 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

TERMOLIxATLETICO ASCOLI

5GAMES50.80SCORED A GAME1.401.00CONCEDED A GAME1.201.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.660%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%20%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%20%BOTH SCORE60%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

Termoli have scored in 60% of their games.

Atletico Ascoli have scored in 80% of their games.

Termoli kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

Atletico Ascoli kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague table