Match details. Serie D, Group E. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 14:30 Lagos time.
Form. Tau Calcio Altopascio have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W W L. Asd Sasso Marconi 1924 have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W L L.
The numbers. Tau Calcio Altopascio score 1.8 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. Asd Sasso Marconi 1924 score 1.1 and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. Asd Sasso Marconi 1924 average 11.0 shots (3.8 on target), 4.2 corners and 2.0 cards a game.
The case against. Asd Sasso Marconi 1924's record still gives them 27% to win.
The read. Tau Calcio Altopascio to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Tau Calcio Altopascio the likelier winners; both teams' records favour Tau Calcio Altopascio. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 60%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Tau Calcio Altopascio 2-1 Asd Sasso Marconi 1924 (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).