APACP

14:30Sun 25 Oct

ASD

AC Prato 1908 vs ASD Flaminia Civita Castellana

CLASS E

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THE READ

Match details. Serie D, Group E. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 14:30 Lagos time.

Form. AC Prato 1908 have won six, drawn four and lost none of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W D W. ASD Flaminia Civita Castellana have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L D W.

The numbers. AC Prato 1908 score 1.2 and concede 0.4 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. AC Prato 1908 average 12.2 shots (5.0 on target), 7.8 corners and 2.2 cards a game. ASD Flaminia Civita Castellana score 1.3 and concede 1.7 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. ASD Flaminia Civita Castellana average 7.7 shots (2.0 on target), 5.0 corners and 1.7 cards a game.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 70% against the records' 44%.

The read. No firm call: AC Prato 1908 are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Their goals for and against make AC Prato 1908 the likelier winners; AC Prato 1908 are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 31%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: AC Prato 1908 1-1 ASD Flaminia Civita Castellana (12% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ACP 8 of 8 (100%) · ASD 7 of 8 (88%)94.6%

AC Prato 1908: under 5.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · ASD Flaminia Civita Castellana: under 5.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · AC Prato 1908: only games against sides at ASD Flaminia Civita Castellana's level · ASD Flaminia Civita Castellana: only games against sides at AC Prato 1908's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ACP 8 of 8 (100%) · ASD 7 of 8 (88%)86.8%

AC Prato 1908: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · ASD Flaminia Civita Castellana: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · AC Prato 1908: only games against sides at ASD Flaminia Civita Castellana's level · ASD Flaminia Civita Castellana: only games against sides at AC Prato 1908's level

Under 3.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ACP 7 of 8 (88%) · ASD 6 of 8 (75%)72.2%

AC Prato 1908: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · ASD Flaminia Civita Castellana: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · AC Prato 1908: only games against sides at ASD Flaminia Civita Castellana's level · ASD Flaminia Civita Castellana: only games against sides at AC Prato 1908's level

AC PRATO 1908 GOALS

AC Prato 1908 Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ACP 8 of 8 (100%) · ASD 6 of 8 (75%)81.1%

AC Prato 1908 scored in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · ASD Flaminia Civita Castellana conceded in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · AC Prato 1908: only games against sides at ASD Flaminia Civita Castellana's level · ASD Flaminia Civita Castellana: only games against sides at AC Prato 1908's level

Left off the list: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 12.3%

AC Prato 1908 goals →

ASD Flaminia Civita… goals ↓

0-08%

1-011%

2-010%

3-05%

4-02%

5-00.7%

0-16%

1-112%

2-110%

3-15%

4-12%

5-10.7%

0-23%

1-26%

2-25%

3-23%

4-21%

5-20.4%

0-31%

1-32%

2-32%

3-30.9%

4-30.4%

5-30.1%

0-40.3%

1-40.5%

2-40.4%

3-40.2%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.1%

2-50.1%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

AC PRATO 1908DWWDWWDWWD2.20 PPG

ASD FLAMINIA CIVITA CASTELLANADWWDLWDLLD1.30 PPG

THE NUMBERS

AC PRATO 1908 HOMExASD FLAMINIA CIVITA CASTELLANA AWAY

1.50SCORED A GAME1.300.50CONCEDED A GAME1.7050%CLEAN SHEETS20%7.83CORNERS A GAME5.002.17CARDS A GAME1.67

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

2.25POINTS A GAME1.50+0.88GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.17+3.2SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–2.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.28LEAGUE GAMES6

AC Prato 1908: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, better form (last 5).

AC PRATO 1908 2:0 HANDICAP

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389 OF 413

NO PRICE YET

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

60%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

25%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

98%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

AC PRATO 1908 OR DRAW

83%

OKAY · 80/85

ASD FLAMINIA CIVITA CASTELLANA OR DRAW

38%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (8 and 6 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

AC PRATO 1908xASD FLAMINIA CIVITA CASTELLANA

5GAMES51.20SCORED A GAME1.200.40CONCEDED A GAME1.201.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.460%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%20%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%40%BOTH SCORE80%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

AC Prato 1908 have scored in 90% of their games.

ASD Flaminia Civita Castellana have scored in 80% of their games.

AC Prato 1908 kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.

ASD Flaminia Civita Castellana kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards