Match details. Serie D, Group D. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 14:30 Lagos time.
Form. Pavia Calcio 1911 have won one, drawn six and lost three of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L L D. USD Casatese Merate have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L W W.
The numbers. Pavia Calcio 1911 score 0.8 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Pavia Calcio 1911 average 6.4 shots (2.2 on target), 3.8 corners and 3.2 cards a game. USD Casatese Merate score 1.5 and concede 1.5 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. USD Casatese Merate average 6.5 shots (2.5 on target), 3.7 corners and 2.0 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 53%.
The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Leave: USD Casatese Merate or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); USD Casatese Merate or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); USD Casatese Merate or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call). Predicted score: Pavia Calcio 1911 1-1 USD Casatese Merate (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).