FC Chernomorets Odessa vs Karpaty Lviv
Match details. Premier League. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 12:00 Lagos time.
Form. FC Chernomorets Odessa have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D L D. Karpaty Lviv have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L D W W.
The numbers. FC Chernomorets Odessa score 0.8 and concede 0.8 a game in their last six at home, with three clean sheets. FC Chernomorets Odessa average 5.6 shots (2.0 on target), 2.9 corners and 1.9 cards a game. Karpaty Lviv score 1.8 and concede 0.9 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets. Karpaty Lviv average 8.2 shots (3.6 on target), 5.8 corners and 2.5 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 70% against the records' 42%.
The read. No firm call: Karpaty Lviv are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Karpaty Lviv the likelier winners; Karpaty Lviv are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 45%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: FC Chernomorets Odessa 1-1 Karpaty Lviv (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).