PSS Sleman vs Borneo Samarinda
Match details. Super League, Regular Season - 7. Kick-off is Tue 27 Oct, 09:30 Lagos time. It is played at Maguwoharjo Stadium, Yogyakarta.
What's at stake. PSS Sleman are 15th on 4 points after 6 games, 1 point behind Garudayaksa, 1 point clear of Isenmulang Kalteng. A win would take them above Garudayaksa. Borneo Samarinda are 13th on 6 points after 5 games, 1 point behind Java United, 1 point clear of Garudayaksa. A win would take them above Java United.
Form. PSS Sleman have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W L L. Borneo Samarinda have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L D W.
The numbers. PSS Sleman score 2.2 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. PSS Sleman average 9.8 shots (2.8 on target), 4.5 corners and 1.1 cards a game. Borneo Samarinda score one and concede 0.6 a game in their last five away, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Borneo Samarinda average 11.1 shots (5.3 on target), 5.0 corners and 0.9 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings PSS Sleman have won two, drawn two and lost five. Two of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. In the last four, one was drawn and Borneo Samarinda won three. The last time they met, on 2 Feb 2025, it finished PSS Sleman 0-1 Borneo Samarinda.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 55%; seven of the last nine meetings went under 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. Borneo Samarinda's record still gives them 39% to win. The meetings do not back them. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 55%.
The read. PSS Sleman or the draw. A tight game. Borneo Samarinda are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour Borneo Samarinda. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Seven of the last nine meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.40, 76% on the records (PSS Sleman: under 3.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home; Borneo Samarinda: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Backup: Under 2.5 first-half goals at 1.14. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); PSS Sleman or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); PSS Sleman Over 0.5 goals (Borneo Samarinda's own games don't back it (2 of 5)). Predicted score: PSS Sleman 1-1 Borneo Samarinda (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).