Match details. Torneo Federal A. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 19:00 Lagos time.
Form. Sportivo Las Parejas have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W W W. CA Alvarado have won three, drawn five and lost two of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W D D.
The numbers. Sportivo Las Parejas score one and concede 0.2 a game in their last five at home, with four clean sheets and two games without a goal. Sportivo Las Parejas average 9.6 shots (4.0 on target), 5.5 corners and 2.0 cards a game. CA Alvarado score 0.8 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. CA Alvarado average 12.0 shots (2.3 on target), 4.6 corners and 2.0 cards a game.
The read. A draw. A tight game. Little separates them, and both sides draw often. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 20%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.11, 77% on the records (Sportivo Las Parejas: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home; CA Alvarado: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Backup: 1st Half - GG/NG: No at 1.09. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Sportivo Las Parejas or Under 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); CA Alvarado or Under 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Sportivo Las Parejas 1-1 CA Alvarado (13% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
SPO 5 of 5 (100%) · CAA 5 of 5 (100%)96.1%
Sportivo Las Parejas: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · CA Alvarado: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 100% · Sportivo Las Parejas: only games against sides at CA Alvarado's level · CA Alvarado: only games against sides at Sportivo Las Parejas's level
Under 3.5 GoalsMAININ CODES
1.11
SPO 5 of 5 (100%) · CAA 4 of 5 (80%)76.6%
Sportivo Las Parejas: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · CA Alvarado: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 85% · Sportivo Las Parejas: only games against sides at CA Alvarado's level · CA Alvarado: only games against sides at Sportivo Las Parejas's level
Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.36
SPO 4 of 5 (80%) · CAA 4 of 5 (80%)55.4%
Sportivo Las Parejas: under 2.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · CA Alvarado: under 2.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · Sportivo Las Parejas: only games against sides at CA Alvarado's level · CA Alvarado: only games against sides at Sportivo Las Parejas's level
HALVES
1st Half - GG/NG: NoBACKUPPAGE ONLY
1.09
SPO 4 of 5 (80%) · CAA 4 of 5 (80%)83.3%
Sportivo Las Parejas: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · CA Alvarado: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · on half-time scores · Sportivo Las Parejas: only games against sides at CA Alvarado's level · CA Alvarado: only games against sides at Sportivo Las Parejas's level
Under 1.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.20
SPO 3 of 5 (60%) · CAA 4 of 5 (80%)75%
Sportivo Las Parejas: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · CA Alvarado: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 85% · on half-time scores · Sportivo Las Parejas: only games against sides at CA Alvarado's level · CA Alvarado: only games against sides at Sportivo Las Parejas's level
Left off the list: Sportivo Las Parejas or Under 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); CA Alvarado or Under 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); 1st Half - 1X2: Draw (the call is a draw); Under 0.5 first-half goals (the numbers (44%) and the records (62%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–113.2%
Sportivo Las Parejas goals →
CA Alvarado goals ↓
0-09%
1-012%
2-09%
3-04%
4-02%
5-00.5%
0-18%
1-113%
2-19%
3-14%
4-12%
5-10.5%
0-24%
1-26%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.8%
5-20.2%
0-31%
1-32%
2-32%
3-30.7%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-40.4%
1-40.5%
2-40.4%
3-40.2%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.1%
2-50.1%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).
FORM · LAST 10
SPORTIVO LAS PAREJASLDDDLWWWDW1.60 PPG
CA ALVARADODDWWLDDWLD1.40 PPG
THE NUMBERS
SPORTIVO LAS PAREJAS HOMExCA ALVARADO AWAY
1.00SCORED A GAME1.100.40CONCEDED A GAME0.8070%CLEAN SHEETS40%5.50CORNERS A GAME4.602.00CARDS A GAME2.00
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
718 OF 767
NO PRICE YET
The Bank expects 4.5+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
2.00POINTS A GAME1.50+1.12GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.42+1.4SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+3.12.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.28LEAGUE GAMES12
Sportivo Las Parejas: the quality side - a better goal difference, better form (last 5).
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
55%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
18%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
98%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
SPORTIVO LAS PAREJAS OR DRAW
87%
VERY GOOD · 80/85
CA ALVARADO OR DRAW
63%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (8 and 12 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
SPORTIVO LAS PAREJASxCA ALVARADO
5GAMES52.00SCORED A GAME1.000.20CONCEDED A GAME0.802.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES1.860%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS20%20%BOTH SCORE40%4.8CARDS IN THEIR GAMES–9.0CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Sportivo Las Parejas have scored in 50% of their games.
CA Alvarado have scored in 60% of their games.
Sportivo Las Parejas kept a clean sheet in 70% of their games.
CA Alvarado kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards