Match details. Tercera Federacion, Group 1. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 17:00 Lagos time.
Form. Pontevedra CF B have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten league games, 1.0 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L L L W D. Silva SD have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten league games, 1.8 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W W D L L.
The numbers. Pontevedra CF B score 1.1 and concede 1.6 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and five games without a goal. Pontevedra CF B average 11.0 shots (4.5 on target), 5.2 corners and 4.8 cards a game. Silva SD score 2.4 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Silva SD average 7.6 shots (4.8 on target), 3.6 corners and 2.2 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 34% against the records' 58%.
The read. No firm call: Silva SD are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Silva SD the likelier winners; Silva SD are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Silva SD. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 65%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.34, rated 78% (Pontevedra CF B: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 10; Silva SD: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 away). Full cover: Pontevedra CF B Under 1.5 Goals at 1.39. Whenever the best bet loses, this one wins. Predicted score: Pontevedra CF B 1-2 Silva SD (10% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (Silva SD the favourite), an open game.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).