Northampton Town Lfc vs Stoke City Lfc
Match details. FA Cup, Women. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.
Form. Northampton Town Lfc have won three, drawn two and lost four of their last nine, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L L L. Stoke City Lfc have won six, drawn none and lost four of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L W W.
The numbers. Northampton Town Lfc score 1.9 and concede 2.9 a game over their last nine, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal. Stoke City Lfc score 0.8 and concede three a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Northampton Town Lfc the likelier winners, but Stoke City Lfc are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Northampton Town Lfc.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 90%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 2.5 Goals at 1.26, rated 90% (Northampton Town Lfc: over 2.5 goals in 9 of 9; Stoke City Lfc: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Predicted score: Northampton Town Lfc 2-1 Stoke City Lfc (8% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (Northampton Town Lfc the favourite), an open game.
Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. Too few cup games on either side to read.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).