Luton Town Lfc vs Cambridge United Women
Cambridge United Women scored in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Luton Town Lfc conceded in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65%
Match details. FA Cup, Women. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.
Form. Luton Town Lfc have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L D W. Cambridge United Women have won one, drawn none and lost four of their last five, 0.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L L L.
The numbers. Luton Town Lfc score 1.8 and concede 2.7 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. Cambridge United Women score one and concede 1.8 a game over their last five, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal.
The case against. Cambridge United Women's record still gives them 30% to win.
The read. Luton Town Lfc to win. An open game. Luton Town Lfc are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Luton Town Lfc. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 70%.
The bets. Best bet: Luton Town Lfc or Draw at 1.26, rated 70% (Luton Town Lfc unbeaten in 6 of 10; Cambridge United Women failed to win 4 of 5). The safer one: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.16 (85%). Backup: Luton Town Lfc or Over 2.5 Goals at 1.23. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Predicted score: Luton Town Lfc 2-1 Cambridge United Women (8% chance).
The agreed story. Luton Town Lfc or the draw, an open game.
Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. Too few cup games on either side to read.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).