Match details. Tercera Federacion, Group 3. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 12:00 Lagos time.
Form. CD Cayon have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W D W. CD Laredo have won six, drawn three and lost one of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W W.
The numbers. CD Cayon score 1.4 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. CD Cayon average 13.0 corners and 1.0 cards a game. CD Laredo score 1.9 and concede 0.5 a game over their last ten, with seven clean sheets and two games without a goal. CD Laredo average 14.7 shots (6.3 on target), 5.0 corners and 2.3 cards a game.
The case against. CD Cayon's record still gives them 28% to win.
The read. CD Laredo to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make CD Laredo the likelier winners; CD Laredo are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 38%.
The bets. Best bet: Draw or CD Laredo at 1.32, 72% on the records (CD Laredo unbeaten in 9 of 10; CD Cayon failed to win 3 of 5 at home). Backup: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.25. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: CD Laredo or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); CD Laredo or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: CD Cayon 0-1 CD Laredo (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).