Match details. Tercera Federacion, Group 2. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 12:00 Lagos time.
Form. El San Martin Ra have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W D D. CD Praviano have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D D W L.
The numbers. El San Martin Ra score 1.6 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. El San Martin Ra average 6.4 shots (2.4 on target), 4.0 corners and 2.0 cards a game. CD Praviano score two and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets.
The case against. El San Martin Ra's record still gives them 42% to win.
The read. CD Praviano to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make CD Praviano the likelier winners; CD Praviano are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 57%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.36, 73% on the records (El San Martin Ra: over 1.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home; CD Praviano: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10). Backup: CD Praviano Over 0.5 Goals at 1.40. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: El San Martin Ra 1-2 CD Praviano (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).