SPAIN AMATEUR - TERCERA FEDERACION, GROUP 14

CVCFV

12:00Sun 25 Oct

JER

CF Villanovense vs Jerez CF

CLASS E

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THE BETSTRONG · 10-ODDS · 100-ODDS ·…

TOTAL GOALS

Class E

CVv

Under 3.5 Goals

CF Villanovense v Jerez CF

Spain Amateur - Tercera… · 12:00

1.33odds

75%book

+14edge

3/3angles

THE READ

Match details. Tercera Federacion, Group 14. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 12:00 Lagos time.

Form. CF Villanovense have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten league games, 1.9 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W W D W W. Jerez CF have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten league games, 1.4 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: D W W L L.

The numbers. CF Villanovense score 1.2 and concede 0.4 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. CF Villanovense average 13.3 shots (3.0 on target), 7.0 corners and 1.7 cards a game. Jerez CF score 1.2 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal.

The case against. Jerez CF's record still gives them 38% to win.

The read. CF Villanovense to win. A tight game. CF Villanovense are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour CF Villanovense. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 25%.

The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.33, rated 88% (CF Villanovense: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home; Jerez CF: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Predicted score: CF Villanovense 1-0 Jerez CF (13% chance).

The agreed story. CF Villanovense or the draw, a tight game.

So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

CF Villanovense or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

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CFV 5 of 5 (100%) · JER 4 of 5 (80%)84.1%

CF Villanovense: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Jerez CF: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · CF Villanovense: only games against sides at Jerez CF's level · Jerez CF: only games against sides at CF Villanovense's level

CF Villanovense (Draw No Bet)LEANPAGE ONLY

1.29

CFV 3 of 5 (60%) · JER 3 of 5 (60%)60.4%

CF Villanovense won 3 of 5 at home (draws left out) · Jerez CF lost 3 of 5 away (draws left out) · both last 10: 58% · CF Villanovense: only games against sides at Jerez CF's level · Jerez CF: only games against sides at CF Villanovense's level · won 6, refunded 0, lost 4

CF Villanovense or Both Teams ScorePAGE ONLY

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CFV 3 of 5 (60%) · JER 4 of 5 (80%)53.7%

CF Villanovense: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · Jerez CF: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 75% · CF Villanovense: only games against sides at Jerez CF's level · Jerez CF: only games against sides at CF Villanovense's level

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

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CFV 5 of 5 (100%) · JER 5 of 5 (100%)97%

CF Villanovense: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Jerez CF: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 95% · CF Villanovense: only games against sides at Jerez CF's level · Jerez CF: only games against sides at CF Villanovense's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

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CFV 5 of 5 (100%) · JER 4 of 5 (80%)91%

CF Villanovense: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Jerez CF: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · CF Villanovense: only games against sides at Jerez CF's level · Jerez CF: only games against sides at CF Villanovense's level

Under 3.5 GoalsMAININ CODES

1.33

CFV 5 of 5 (100%) · JER 4 of 5 (80%)89.3%

CF Villanovense: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Jerez CF: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 85% · CF Villanovense: only games against sides at Jerez CF's level · Jerez CF: only games against sides at CF Villanovense's level

CF VILLANOVENSE GOALS

CF Villanovense Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

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CFV 3 of 5 (60%) · JER 4 of 5 (80%)53.7%

CF Villanovense scored in 3 of 5 at home · Jerez CF conceded in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 75% · CF Villanovense: only games against sides at Jerez CF's level · Jerez CF: only games against sides at CF Villanovense's level

Left off the list: CF Villanovense or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); CF Villanovense or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); CF Villanovense to Win (the numbers (44%) and the records (57%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–0 13%

CF Villanovense goals →

Jerez CF goals ↓

0-011%

1-013%

2-09%

3-04%

4-01%

5-00.3%

0-19%

1-114%

2-19%

3-14%

4-11%

5-10.3%

0-25%

1-26%

2-24%

3-22%

4-20.6%

5-20.2%

0-31%

1-32%

2-31%

3-30.6%

4-30.2%

5-30.0%

0-40.3%

1-40.5%

2-40.3%

3-40.1%

4-40.0%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.1%

2-50.1%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

CF VILLANOVENSEWWLLLWWDWW1.90 PPG

JEREZ CFLLWDWLLWWD1.40 PPG

THE NUMBERS

CF VILLANOVENSE HOMExJEREZ CF AWAY

1.40SCORED A GAME1.500.50CONCEDED A GAME1.2060%CLEAN SHEETS30%

TRENDS

CF Villanovense have scored in 80% of their games.

Jerez CF have scored in 70% of their games.

CF Villanovense kept a clean sheet in 60% of their games.

Jerez CF kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards