Match details. Tercera Federacion, Group 1. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 12:00 Lagos time.
Form. Racing Club Villalbes have won three, drawn four and lost one of their last eight league games, 1.6 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: D L D D W. Alondras CF have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten league games, 1.3 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L D L W W.
The numbers. Racing Club Villalbes score 1.4 and concede 1.1 a game over their last eight, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Racing Club Villalbes average 8.0 shots (3.3 on target), 2.5 corners and 2.7 cards a game. Alondras CF score 1.3 and concede 1.6 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and four games without a goal. Alondras CF average 7.0 shots (3.2 on target), 4.7 corners and 1.8 cards a game.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 48%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Racing Club Villalbes 1-1 Alondras CF (13% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (Racing Club Villalbes the favourite), a tight game.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).